DDM Analysis: 5110.SR

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth	$229.60 - $270.50	$253.50
Multi-Stage	$54.06 - $59.19	$56.58
Blended Fair Value	$155.04
Current Price	$14.70
Upside	954.69%
Decision	Buy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric	5Y CAGR	10Y CAGR	2024	2023	2022	2021	2020	2019	2018	2017	2016	2015
DPS	31.71%	18.60%	0.70	0.69	0.70	0.70	0.17	0.18	0.13	0.13	0.13	0.13
YoY Growth	-	-	1.58%	-0.92%	-1.00%	309.54%	-2.87%	36.67%	0.10%	0.48%	0.84%	0.25%
Dividend Yield	-	-	4.47%	3.50%	2.98%	2.66%	0.73%	1.11%	0.78%	0.63%	0.56%	0.80%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)

Net Income To Common (M)	5,667.22
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)	2,926.82
(=) Cash Retained (M)	2,740.40

Metric	LOW	BASE	HIGH
Required Retention Ratio	20.0%	12.5%	7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)	1,133.44	708.40	425.04
Cash Retained (M)	2,740.40	2,740.40	2,740.40
(-) Cash Required (M)	-1,133.44	-708.40	-425.04
(=) Excess Retained (M)	1,606.96	2,032.00	2,315.36
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)	4,166.56	4,166.56	4,166.56
(=) Excess Retained per Share	0.39	0.49	0.56
LTM Dividend per Share	0.70	0.70	0.70
(+) Excess Retained per Share	0.39	0.49	0.56
(=) Adjusted Dividend	1.09	1.19	1.26
WACC / Discount Rate	5.63%	5.63%	5.63%
Growth Rate	5.50%	6.50%	7.50%
Fair Value	$229.60	$253.50	$270.50
Upside / Downside	1,461.88%	1,624.50%	1,740.16%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)

Metric	TTM	Dec-27	Dec-28	Dec-29	Dec-30	Dec-31	Terminal
Net Income (M)	5,667.22	6,035.59	6,427.90	6,845.72	7,290.69	7,764.58	7,997.52
Payout Ratio	51.64%	59.32%	66.99%	74.66%	82.33%	90.00%	92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)	2,926.82	3,580.05	4,305.84	5,110.86	6,002.34	6,988.12	7,397.70

Multi-Stage Valuation

Metric	LOW	BASE	HIGH
WACC / Discount Rate	5.63%	5.63%	5.63%
Growth Rate	5.50%	6.50%	7.50%
Year 1 PV (M)	3,357.45	3,389.28	3,421.10
Year 2 PV (M)	3,787.04	3,859.17	3,931.98
Year 3 PV (M)	4,215.57	4,336.59	4,459.89
Year 4 PV (M)	4,643.05	4,821.61	5,005.27
Year 5 PV (M)	5,069.49	5,314.35	5,568.58
PV of Terminal Value (M)	204,151.17	214,011.74	224,249.71
Equity Value (M)	225,223.78	235,732.74	246,636.54
Shares Outstanding (M)	4,166.56	4,166.56	4,166.56
Fair Value	$54.06	$56.58	$59.19
Upside / Downside	267.72%	284.88%	302.68%

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Saudi Electricity Company (5110.SR)

Valuation Snapshot

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

Multi-Stage Valuation

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