DDM Analysis: 3698.HK

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth	$38.59 - $79.02	$54.09
Multi-Stage	$48.15 - $52.82	$50.44
Blended Fair Value	$52.27
Current Price	$3.52
Upside	1,384.83%
Decision	Buy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric	5Y CAGR	10Y CAGR	2024	2023	2022	2021	2020	2019	2018	2017	2016	2015
DPS	-9.15%	4.32%	0.24	0.50	0.46	0.42	0.52	0.38	0.36	0.18	0.30	0.16
YoY Growth	-	-	-52.58%	7.39%	10.89%	-19.18%	35.61%	5.26%	99.41%	-39.56%	85.34%	4.90%
Dividend Yield	-	-	10.14%	23.07%	21.09%	19.56%	24.09%	14.91%	12.12%	5.59%	9.33%	6.05%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)

Net Income To Common (M)	30,855.08
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)	8,886.23
(=) Cash Retained (M)	21,968.85

Metric	LOW	BASE	HIGH
Required Retention Ratio	20.0%	12.5%	7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)	6,171.02	3,856.88	2,314.13
Cash Retained (M)	21,968.85	21,968.85	21,968.85
(-) Cash Required (M)	-6,171.02	-3,856.88	-2,314.13
(=) Excess Retained (M)	15,797.83	18,111.96	19,654.72
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)	13,889.80	13,889.80	13,889.80
(=) Excess Retained per Share	1.14	1.30	1.42
LTM Dividend per Share	0.64	0.64	0.64
(+) Excess Retained per Share	1.14	1.30	1.42
(=) Adjusted Dividend	1.78	1.94	2.05
WACC / Discount Rate	7.03%	7.03%	7.03%
Growth Rate	2.32%	3.32%	4.32%
Fair Value	$38.59	$54.09	$79.02
Upside / Downside	996.18%	1,436.75%	2,144.97%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)

Metric	TTM	Dec-27	Dec-28	Dec-29	Dec-30	Dec-31	Terminal
Net Income (M)	30,855.08	31,880.04	32,939.05	34,033.24	35,163.77	36,331.86	37,421.82
Payout Ratio	28.80%	41.04%	53.28%	65.52%	77.76%	90.00%	92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)	8,886.23	13,083.54	17,549.90	22,298.56	27,343.34	32,698.68	34,615.18

Multi-Stage Valuation

Metric	LOW	BASE	HIGH
WACC / Discount Rate	7.03%	7.03%	7.03%
Growth Rate	2.32%	3.32%	4.32%
Year 1 PV (M)	12,105.36	12,223.67	12,341.97
Year 2 PV (M)	15,023.79	15,318.88	15,616.85
Year 3 PV (M)	17,661.76	18,184.67	18,717.80
Year 4 PV (M)	20,038.31	20,833.22	21,651.54
Year 5 PV (M)	22,171.35	23,276.14	24,424.55
PV of Terminal Value (M)	581,751.95	610,740.61	640,873.52
Equity Value (M)	668,752.52	700,577.19	733,626.22
Shares Outstanding (M)	13,889.80	13,889.80	13,889.80
Fair Value	$48.15	$50.44	$52.82
Upside / Downside	1,267.81%	1,332.90%	1,400.50%

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Huishang Bank Corporation Limited (3698.HK)

Valuation Snapshot

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

Multi-Stage Valuation

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