DDM Analysis: 1099.HK

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth	$420.79 - $986.39	$924.39
Multi-Stage	$148.10 - $161.96	$154.90
Blended Fair Value	$539.65
Current Price	$16.77
Upside	3,117.93%
Decision	Buy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric	5Y CAGR	10Y CAGR	2024	2023	2022	2021	2020	2019	2018	2017	2016	2015
DPS	9.14%	15.06%	0.87	0.82	0.75	0.69	0.60	0.56	0.51	0.44	0.36	0.28
YoY Growth	-	-	6.10%	9.33%	8.70%	15.45%	6.38%	11.18%	13.99%	21.94%	32.26%	28.46%
Dividend Yield	-	-	4.36%	4.49%	4.29%	5.00%	3.77%	2.21%	1.75%	1.56%	1.27%	1.06%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)

Net Income To Common (M)	15,456.72
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)	9,757.18
(=) Cash Retained (M)	5,699.54

Metric	LOW	BASE	HIGH
Required Retention Ratio	20.0%	12.5%	7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)	3,091.34	1,932.09	1,159.25
Cash Retained (M)	5,699.54	5,699.54	5,699.54
(-) Cash Required (M)	-3,091.34	-1,932.09	-1,159.25
(=) Excess Retained (M)	2,608.20	3,767.45	4,540.29
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)	3,116.38	3,116.38	3,116.38
(=) Excess Retained per Share	0.84	1.21	1.46
LTM Dividend per Share	3.13	3.13	3.13
(+) Excess Retained per Share	0.84	1.21	1.46
(=) Adjusted Dividend	3.97	4.34	4.59
WACC / Discount Rate	6.49%	6.49%	6.49%
Growth Rate	5.50%	6.50%	7.50%
Fair Value	$420.79	$924.39	$986.39
Upside / Downside	2,409.21%	5,412.16%	5,781.85%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)

Metric	TTM	Dec-27	Dec-28	Dec-29	Dec-30	Dec-31	Terminal
Net Income (M)	15,456.72	16,461.40	17,531.40	18,670.94	19,884.55	21,177.04	21,812.35
Payout Ratio	63.13%	68.50%	73.88%	79.25%	84.63%	90.00%	92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)	9,757.18	11,276.17	12,951.40	14,796.78	16,827.33	19,059.34	20,176.43

Multi-Stage Valuation

Metric	LOW	BASE	HIGH
WACC / Discount Rate	6.49%	6.49%	6.49%
Growth Rate	5.50%	6.50%	7.50%
Year 1 PV (M)	10,489.05	10,588.47	10,687.89
Year 2 PV (M)	11,206.39	11,419.84	11,635.30
Year 3 PV (M)	11,909.41	12,251.29	12,599.65
Year 4 PV (M)	12,598.33	13,082.82	13,581.16
Year 5 PV (M)	13,273.33	13,914.44	14,580.08
PV of Terminal Value (M)	402,061.69	421,481.42	441,644.39
Equity Value (M)	461,538.19	482,738.27	504,728.47
Shares Outstanding (M)	3,116.38	3,116.38	3,116.38
Fair Value	$148.10	$154.90	$161.96
Upside / Downside	783.13%	823.69%	865.77%

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3679.T	ZIGExN Co., Ltd.	2.19%	$10.55	26.56%
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4617.T	Chugoku Marine Paints, Ltd.	2.19%	$96.72	42.42%
600051.SS	Ningbo United Group Co.,Ltd.	2.19%	$0.17	55.08%
603799.SS	Zhejiang Huayou Cobalt Co., Ltd	2.19%	$1.49	48.01%
7233.KL	Dufu Technology Corp. Berhad	2.19%	$0.04	95.65%
9064.T	Yamato Holdings Co., Ltd.	2.19%	$48.33	36.15%
9948.T	ARCS Company Limited	2.19%	$74.01	33.92%
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000153.SZ	Anhui Fengyuan Pharmaceutical Co., Ltd.	2.18%	$0.14	55.80%
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002626.SZ	Xiamen Kingdomway Group Company	2.18%	$0.43	54.26%
2468.TW	Fortune Information Systems Corp	2.18%	$0.90	78.36%
300815.SZ	EIT Environmental Development Group Co.,Ltd	2.18%	$0.50	38.67%
300910.SZ	Xinxiang Richful Lube Additive Co., Ltd	2.18%	$1.23	45.00%
4908.TWO	APAC Opto Electronics Inc.	2.18%	$1.74	72.09%
601369.SS	Xi'an Shaangu Power Co., Ltd.	2.18%	$0.22	37.55%
067160.KQ	Soop Co., Ltd.	2.17%	$1,492.25	15.52%
3898.HK	Zhuzhou CRRC Times Electric Co., Ltd.	2.17%	$0.83	29.19%
4507.T	Shionogi & Co., Ltd.	2.17%	$61.65	30.72%
603383.SS	Fujian Apex Software Co.,LTD	2.17%	$0.78	83.82%
603568.SS	Zhejiang Weiming Environment Protection Co., Ltd.	2.17%	$0.55	34.14%
7181.T	Japan Post Insurance Co., Ltd.	2.17%	$102.13	24.56%
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605056.SS	Xianheng International Science&Technology Co., Ltd.	2.16%	$0.36	57.45%
MGIC	Magic Software Enterprises Ltd.	2.16%	$0.56	69.02%
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3727.T	Aplix Corporation	2.15%	$3.44	54.78%
603586.SS	Shandong Gold Phoenix Co.,Ltd	2.15%	$0.41	51.17%
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Sinopharm Group Co. Ltd. (1099.HK)

Valuation Snapshot

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

Multi-Stage Valuation

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