DDM Analysis: 002616.SZ

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth	$36.81 - $77.09	$72.25
Multi-Stage	$12.01 - $13.13	$12.56
Blended Fair Value	$42.40
Current Price	$6.89
Upside	515.43%
Decision	Buy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric	5Y CAGR	10Y CAGR	2024	2023	2022	2021	2020	2019	2018	2017	2016	2015
DPS	22.81%	44.82%	0.47	0.33	0.36	0.51	0.46	0.17	0.33	0.06	0.10	0.25
YoY Growth	-	-	42.99%	-7.07%	-29.52%	10.76%	169.26%	-48.02%	436.34%	-40.00%	-58.75%	2,005.79%
Dividend Yield	-	-	8.24%	7.14%	6.91%	9.49%	5.76%	2.10%	3.67%	0.79%	0.88%	2.50%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)

Net Income To Common (M)	295.35
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)	210.03
(=) Cash Retained (M)	85.32

Metric	LOW	BASE	HIGH
Required Retention Ratio	20.0%	12.5%	7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)	59.07	36.92	22.15
Cash Retained (M)	85.32	85.32	85.32
(-) Cash Required (M)	-59.07	-36.92	-22.15
(=) Excess Retained (M)	26.25	48.40	63.17
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)	761.89	761.89	761.89
(=) Excess Retained per Share	0.03	0.06	0.08
LTM Dividend per Share	0.28	0.28	0.28
(+) Excess Retained per Share	0.03	0.06	0.08
(=) Adjusted Dividend	0.31	0.34	0.36
WACC / Discount Rate	6.39%	6.39%	6.39%
Growth Rate	5.50%	6.50%	7.50%
Fair Value	$36.81	$72.25	$77.09
Upside / Downside	434.22%	948.59%	1,018.92%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)

Metric	TTM	Dec-27	Dec-28	Dec-29	Dec-30	Dec-31	Terminal
Net Income (M)	295.35	314.54	334.99	356.76	379.95	404.65	416.79
Payout Ratio	71.11%	74.89%	78.67%	82.45%	86.22%	90.00%	92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)	210.03	235.56	263.53	294.13	327.61	364.18	385.53

Multi-Stage Valuation

Metric	LOW	BASE	HIGH
WACC / Discount Rate	6.39%	6.39%	6.39%
Growth Rate	5.50%	6.50%	7.50%
Year 1 PV (M)	219.34	221.42	223.50
Year 2 PV (M)	228.48	232.83	237.22
Year 3 PV (M)	237.45	244.26	251.21
Year 4 PV (M)	246.25	255.72	265.46
Year 5 PV (M)	254.89	267.20	279.99
PV of Terminal Value (M)	7,962.24	8,346.82	8,746.12
Equity Value (M)	9,148.64	9,568.25	10,003.49
Shares Outstanding (M)	761.89	761.89	761.89
Fair Value	$12.01	$12.56	$13.13
Upside / Downside	74.28%	82.27%	90.56%

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Guangdong Chant Group Inc. (002616.SZ)

Valuation Snapshot

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

Multi-Stage Valuation

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