Definitive Analysis
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Definitive Analysis

Financial Statements

Company Industry Sector

Fundamentals

Margins Returns Growth Rates Metrics/Ratios

Valuations

Projections DCF DDM EPV Multiples Valuations

Miscellaneous

Indicators Charts WACC Beta Predictability

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Company Industry Sector

Ticker

Industry

Sector

SNGN Romgaz S.A. (SNGR.L)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: Oil & Gas IntegratedSector: Energy

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$24.14 - $48.05$33.49
Multi-Stage$18.75 - $20.43$19.58
Blended Fair Value$26.53
Current Price$46.77
Upside-43.27%
DecisionDon't Buy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR2023202220212020201920182017201620152014
DPS-4.65%2.20%0.620.690.330.290.760.790.440.490.570.47
YoY Growth---9.99%112.16%11.23%-61.40%-3.86%80.73%-11.12%-14.34%22.93%-6.78%
Dividend Yield--1.33%1.84%0.83%0.90%2.76%2.46%1.16%1.65%2.20%1.32%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)2,963.68
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)1,342.29
(=) Cash Retained (M)1,621.40
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)592.74370.46222.28
Cash Retained (M)1,621.401,621.401,621.40
(-) Cash Required (M)-592.74-370.46-222.28
(=) Excess Retained (M)1,028.661,250.941,399.12
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)2,114.632,114.632,114.63
(=) Excess Retained per Share0.490.590.66
LTM Dividend per Share0.630.630.63
(+) Excess Retained per Share0.490.590.66
(=) Adjusted Dividend1.121.231.30
WACC / Discount Rate10.40%10.40%10.40%
Growth Rate5.50%6.50%7.50%
Fair Value$24.14$33.49$48.05
Upside / Downside-48.39%-28.40%2.74%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)2,963.683,156.323,361.483,579.983,812.684,060.504,182.32
Payout Ratio45.29%54.23%63.17%72.12%81.06%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)1,342.291,711.762,123.612,581.753,090.493,654.453,868.64

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate10.40%10.40%10.40%
Growth Rate5.50%6.50%7.50%
Year 1 PV (M)1,535.951,550.511,565.07
Year 2 PV (M)1,709.781,742.341,775.22
Year 3 PV (M)1,865.151,918.691,973.25
Year 4 PV (M)2,003.362,080.402,159.65
Year 5 PV (M)2,125.622,228.292,334.89
PV of Terminal Value (M)30,407.3231,876.0133,400.90
Equity Value (M)39,647.1841,396.2543,208.97
Shares Outstanding (M)2,114.632,114.632,114.63
Fair Value$18.75$19.58$20.43
Upside / Downside-59.91%-58.14%-56.31%

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