Definitive Analysis
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Definitive Analysis

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Sector

Qatar Islamic Bank (Q.P.S.C.) (QIBK.QA)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: Banks - RegionalSector: Financial Services

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$158.78 - $396.87$371.92
Multi-Stage$57.73 - $63.17$60.40
Blended Fair Value$216.16
Current Price$22.15
Upside875.90%
DecisionBuy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR2024202320222021202020192018201720162015
DPS14.29%9.32%0.980.630.580.400.520.500.500.480.420.42
YoY Growth--56.00%8.70%43.75%-23.81%5.00%0.00%5.26%11.76%0.00%6.25%
Dividend Yield--4.74%3.41%3.23%1.68%3.19%3.48%3.32%4.81%4.15%4.10%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)4,715.36
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)2,108.99
(=) Cash Retained (M)2,606.37
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)943.07589.42353.65
Cash Retained (M)2,606.372,606.372,606.37
(-) Cash Required (M)-943.07-589.42-353.65
(=) Excess Retained (M)1,663.302,016.952,252.72
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)2,362.932,362.932,362.93
(=) Excess Retained per Share0.700.850.95
LTM Dividend per Share0.890.890.89
(+) Excess Retained per Share0.700.850.95
(=) Adjusted Dividend1.601.751.85
WACC / Discount Rate6.56%6.56%6.56%
Growth Rate5.50%6.50%7.50%
Fair Value$158.78$371.92$396.87
Upside / Downside616.86%1,579.10%1,691.72%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)4,715.365,021.865,348.285,695.926,066.156,460.456,654.26
Payout Ratio44.73%53.78%62.84%71.89%80.95%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)2,108.992,700.793,360.624,094.824,910.265,814.416,155.19

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate6.56%6.56%6.56%
Growth Rate5.50%6.50%7.50%
Year 1 PV (M)2,510.712,534.512,558.31
Year 2 PV (M)2,904.232,959.553,015.39
Year 3 PV (M)3,289.663,384.103,480.32
Year 4 PV (M)3,667.143,808.163,953.22
Year 5 PV (M)4,036.774,231.754,434.19
PV of Terminal Value (M)120,014.37125,811.10131,829.70
Equity Value (M)136,422.88142,729.17149,271.12
Shares Outstanding (M)2,362.932,362.932,362.93
Fair Value$57.73$60.40$63.17
Upside / Downside160.65%172.70%185.20%

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