Definitive Analysis
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Definitive Analysis

Financial Statements

Company Industry Sector

Fundamentals

Margins Returns Growth Rates Metrics/Ratios

Valuations

Projections DCF DDM EPV Multiples Valuations

Miscellaneous

Indicators Charts WACC Beta Predictability

Mode

Company Industry Sector

Ticker

Industry

Sector

Oracle Corporation (ORCL)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: Software - InfrastructureSector: Technology

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$113.41 - $269.36$167.40
Multi-Stage$81.34 - $88.79$85.00
Blended Fair Value$126.20
Current Price$200.94
Upside-37.20%
DecisionDon't Buy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR2025202420232022202120202019201820172016
DPS9.09%7.72%1.641.521.271.201.061.061.011.090.910.88
YoY Growth--8.02%19.71%6.10%12.86%-0.23%4.71%-6.62%19.35%3.54%12.68%
Dividend Yield--0.73%1.07%1.05%1.61%1.19%1.85%1.95%2.23%1.81%2.13%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)15,425.00
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)5,370.00
(=) Cash Retained (M)10,055.00
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)3,085.001,928.131,156.88
Cash Retained (M)10,055.0010,055.0010,055.00
(-) Cash Required (M)-3,085.00-1,928.13-1,156.88
(=) Excess Retained (M)6,970.008,126.888,898.13
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)2,892.502,892.502,892.50
(=) Excess Retained per Share2.412.813.08
LTM Dividend per Share1.861.861.86
(+) Excess Retained per Share2.412.813.08
(=) Adjusted Dividend4.274.674.93
WACC / Discount Rate9.47%9.47%9.47%
Growth Rate5.50%6.50%7.50%
Fair Value$113.41$167.40$269.36
Upside / Downside-43.56%-16.69%34.05%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)15,425.0016,427.6317,495.4218,632.6219,843.7421,133.5921,767.59
Payout Ratio34.81%45.85%56.89%67.93%78.96%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)5,370.007,532.219,952.8212,656.2915,669.1619,020.2320,135.02

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate9.47%9.47%9.47%
Growth Rate5.50%6.50%7.50%
Year 1 PV (M)6,816.096,880.706,945.31
Year 2 PV (M)8,150.288,305.528,462.22
Year 3 PV (M)9,378.769,647.999,922.32
Year 4 PV (M)10,507.4610,911.5411,327.17
Year 5 PV (M)11,541.9912,099.4712,678.29
PV of Terminal Value (M)188,886.65198,009.94207,482.41
Equity Value (M)235,281.22245,855.16256,817.72
Shares Outstanding (M)2,892.502,892.502,892.50
Fair Value$81.34$85.00$88.79
Upside / Downside-59.52%-57.70%-55.81%

High-Yield Dividend Screener

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