Definitive Analysis
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Definitive Analysis

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NextEra Energy, Inc. Series N J (NEE-PN)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: Regulated ElectricSector: Utilities

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$92.28 - $367.57$157.27
Multi-Stage$83.17 - $91.02$87.02
Blended Fair Value$122.14
Current Price$75.49
Upside61.80%
DecisionBuy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR2024202320222021202020192018201720162015
DPS11.95%12.88%2.051.841.631.471.331.171.020.900.780.67
YoY Growth--11.98%12.83%10.85%10.24%13.91%14.61%13.88%14.45%16.39%9.83%
Dividend Yield--2.90%2.90%2.11%1.73%1.76%1.94%2.14%2.19%2.44%2.27%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)6,502.00
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)4,558.00
(=) Cash Retained (M)1,944.00
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)1,300.40812.75487.65
Cash Retained (M)1,944.001,944.001,944.00
(-) Cash Required (M)-1,300.40-812.75-487.65
(=) Excess Retained (M)643.601,131.251,456.35
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)2,060.902,060.902,060.90
(=) Excess Retained per Share0.310.550.71
LTM Dividend per Share2.212.212.21
(+) Excess Retained per Share0.310.550.71
(=) Adjusted Dividend2.522.762.92
WACC / Discount Rate6.69%6.69%6.69%
Growth Rate3.85%4.85%5.85%
Fair Value$92.28$157.27$367.57
Upside / Downside22.24%108.33%386.91%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)6,502.006,817.067,147.387,493.717,856.838,237.538,484.66
Payout Ratio70.10%74.08%78.06%82.04%86.02%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)4,558.005,050.165,579.316,147.896,758.477,413.787,848.31

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate6.69%6.69%6.69%
Growth Rate3.85%4.85%5.85%
Year 1 PV (M)4,688.524,733.674,778.82
Year 2 PV (M)4,808.864,901.924,995.87
Year 3 PV (M)4,919.475,062.965,209.22
Year 4 PV (M)5,020.785,216.985,418.89
Year 5 PV (M)5,113.215,364.195,624.93
PV of Terminal Value (M)146,853.04154,061.28161,549.83
Equity Value (M)171,403.88179,341.00187,577.55
Shares Outstanding (M)2,060.902,060.902,060.90
Fair Value$83.17$87.02$91.02
Upside / Downside10.17%15.27%20.57%

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