Definitive Analysis
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Definitive Analysis

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Sector

Banco de Chile (CHILE.SN)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: Banks - RegionalSector: Financial Services

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$689.05 - $2,492.16$2,183.02
Multi-Stage$326.52 - $356.64$341.31
Blended Fair Value$1,262.16
Current Price$140.90
Upside795.79%
DecisionBuy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR2024202320222021202020192018201720162015
DPS18.02%8.28%8.088.585.342.183.473.533.703.393.633.64
YoY Growth---5.88%60.59%145.07%-37.16%-1.62%-4.75%9.37%-6.71%-0.22%-0.18%
Dividend Yield--6.44%7.89%6.92%2.59%4.09%5.10%3.72%3.43%4.79%5.42%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)1,265,875.00
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)995,380.00
(=) Cash Retained (M)270,495.00
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)253,175.00158,234.3894,940.63
Cash Retained (M)270,495.00270,495.00270,495.00
(-) Cash Required (M)-253,175.00-158,234.38-94,940.63
(=) Excess Retained (M)17,320.00112,260.63175,554.38
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)101,017.08101,017.08101,017.08
(=) Excess Retained per Share0.171.111.74
LTM Dividend per Share9.859.859.85
(+) Excess Retained per Share0.171.111.74
(=) Adjusted Dividend10.0310.9611.59
WACC / Discount Rate7.03%7.03%7.03%
Growth Rate5.50%6.50%7.50%
Fair Value$689.05$2,183.02$2,492.16
Upside / Downside389.03%1,449.34%1,668.74%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)1,265,875.001,348,156.881,435,787.071,529,113.231,628,505.591,734,358.461,786,389.21
Payout Ratio78.63%80.91%83.18%85.45%87.73%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)995,380.001,090,732.001,194,274.271,306,668.701,428,628.601,560,922.611,652,410.02

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate7.03%7.03%7.03%
Growth Rate5.50%6.50%7.50%
Year 1 PV (M)1,009,474.561,019,043.041,028,611.52
Year 2 PV (M)1,022,960.181,042,444.701,062,113.03
Year 3 PV (M)1,035,851.421,065,587.001,095,886.26
Year 4 PV (M)1,048,162.561,088,471.941,129,932.92
Year 5 PV (M)1,059,907.591,111,101.521,164,254.76
PV of Terminal Value (M)27,807,921.8929,151,054.9230,545,592.80
Equity Value (M)32,984,278.2134,477,703.1136,026,391.30
Shares Outstanding (M)101,017.08101,017.08101,017.08
Fair Value$326.52$341.31$356.64
Upside / Downside131.74%142.23%153.11%

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