Definitive Analysis
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Definitive Analysis

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B3 S.A. - Brasil, Bolsa, Balcão (B3SA3.SA)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: Financial - Data & Stock ExchangesSector: Financial Services

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$18.91 - $43.47$27.61
Multi-Stage$13.49 - $14.73$14.10
Blended Fair Value$20.85
Current Price$13.40
Upside55.63%
DecisionBuy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR2024202320222021202020192018201720162015
DPS-0.17%10.68%0.390.380.001.270.740.390.290.150.110.27
YoY Growth--2.50%0.00%-100.00%72.62%88.41%34.85%96.22%33.40%-59.08%92.59%
Dividend Yield--3.19%3.20%0.00%7.98%3.95%3.23%2.64%1.64%1.64%4.90%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)4,856.29
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)1,039.42
(=) Cash Retained (M)3,816.87
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)971.26607.04364.22
Cash Retained (M)3,816.873,816.873,816.87
(-) Cash Required (M)-971.26-607.04-364.22
(=) Excess Retained (M)2,845.613,209.833,452.65
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)5,281.405,281.405,281.40
(=) Excess Retained per Share0.540.610.65
LTM Dividend per Share0.200.200.20
(+) Excess Retained per Share0.540.610.65
(=) Adjusted Dividend0.740.800.85
WACC / Discount Rate9.60%9.60%9.60%
Growth Rate5.50%6.50%7.50%
Fair Value$18.91$27.61$43.47
Upside / Downside41.14%106.04%224.39%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)4,856.295,171.955,508.135,866.156,247.456,653.546,853.15
Payout Ratio21.40%35.12%48.84%62.56%76.28%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)1,039.421,816.542,690.293,669.954,765.605,988.196,339.16

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate9.60%9.60%9.60%
Growth Rate5.50%6.50%7.50%
Year 1 PV (M)1,641.811,657.371,672.94
Year 2 PV (M)2,197.642,239.502,281.75
Year 3 PV (M)2,709.542,787.322,866.58
Year 4 PV (M)3,180.043,302.333,428.12
Year 5 PV (M)3,611.503,785.943,967.05
PV of Terminal Value (M)57,896.3660,692.7863,596.22
Equity Value (M)71,236.8974,465.2477,812.65
Shares Outstanding (M)5,281.405,281.405,281.40
Fair Value$13.49$14.10$14.73
Upside / Downside0.66%5.22%9.95%

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