Definitive Analysis
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Definitive Analysis

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Company Industry Sector

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Margins Returns Growth Rates Metrics/Ratios

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Company Industry Sector

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Industry

Sector

J. Front Retailing Co., Ltd. (3086.T)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: Department StoresSector: Consumer Cyclical

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$1,315.48 - $2,130.04$1,681.58
Multi-Stage$2,130.61 - $2,338.28$2,232.46
Blended Fair Value$1,957.02
Current Price$2,301.50
Upside-14.97%
DecisionDon't Buy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR2025202420232022202120202019201820172016
DPS2.91%5.56%42.7332.9430.8532.8827.7937.0136.9830.8128.7726.84
YoY Growth--29.72%6.77%-6.18%18.31%-24.90%0.07%20.03%7.08%7.21%7.95%
Dividend Yield--2.10%2.16%2.26%3.16%2.58%4.04%3.26%1.80%1.84%2.02%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)30,685.00
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)13,397.00
(=) Cash Retained (M)17,288.00
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)6,137.003,835.632,301.38
Cash Retained (M)17,288.0017,288.0017,288.00
(-) Cash Required (M)-6,137.00-3,835.63-2,301.38
(=) Excess Retained (M)11,151.0013,452.3814,986.63
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)253.88253.88253.88
(=) Excess Retained per Share43.9252.9959.03
LTM Dividend per Share52.7752.7752.77
(+) Excess Retained per Share43.9252.9959.03
(=) Adjusted Dividend96.69105.76111.80
WACC / Discount Rate7.52%7.52%7.52%
Growth Rate0.16%1.16%2.16%
Fair Value$1,315.48$1,681.58$2,130.04
Upside / Downside-42.84%-26.94%-7.45%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)30,685.0031,040.9231,400.9731,765.1932,133.6432,506.3633,481.56
Payout Ratio43.66%52.93%62.20%71.46%80.73%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)13,397.0016,429.2819,530.1022,700.6525,942.1229,255.7330,970.44

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate7.52%7.52%7.52%
Growth Rate0.16%1.16%2.16%
Year 1 PV (M)15,128.8715,279.9215,430.96
Year 2 PV (M)16,560.7616,893.1017,228.74
Year 3 PV (M)17,725.6418,261.8818,808.83
Year 4 PV (M)18,653.3619,409.5320,188.47
Year 5 PV (M)19,370.9320,357.4321,383.72
PV of Terminal Value (M)453,471.91476,565.87500,591.27
Equity Value (M)540,911.47566,767.73593,631.99
Shares Outstanding (M)253.88253.88253.88
Fair Value$2,130.61$2,232.46$2,338.28
Upside / Downside-7.42%-3.00%1.60%

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