Definitive Analysis
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Definitive Analysis

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Sector

SSY Group Limited (2005.HK)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: Drug Manufacturers - Specialty & GenericSector: Healthcare

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$115.32 - $135.87$127.33
Multi-Stage$31.93 - $34.98$33.42
Blended Fair Value$80.38
Current Price$2.78
Upside2,791.19%
DecisionBuy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR2024202320222021202020192018201720162015
DPS12.05%8.50%0.180.150.130.100.110.100.080.060.020.20
YoY Growth--19.89%14.79%28.26%-9.09%10.07%25.41%41.27%140.00%-87.76%146.03%
Dividend Yield--5.05%3.07%3.04%2.54%2.55%1.62%1.40%1.16%0.97%9.80%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)2,024.66
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)1,022.39
(=) Cash Retained (M)1,002.28
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)404.93253.08151.85
Cash Retained (M)1,002.281,002.281,002.28
(-) Cash Required (M)-404.93-253.08-151.85
(=) Excess Retained (M)597.35749.20850.43
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)2,963.592,963.592,963.59
(=) Excess Retained per Share0.200.250.29
LTM Dividend per Share0.340.340.34
(+) Excess Retained per Share0.200.250.29
(=) Adjusted Dividend0.550.600.63
WACC / Discount Rate5.24%5.24%5.24%
Growth Rate5.50%6.50%7.50%
Fair Value$115.32$127.33$135.87
Upside / Downside4,048.23%4,480.13%4,787.31%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)2,024.662,156.272,296.422,445.692,604.662,773.962,857.18
Payout Ratio50.50%58.40%66.30%74.20%82.10%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)1,022.391,259.201,522.481,814.672,138.412,496.572,642.89

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate5.24%5.24%5.24%
Growth Rate5.50%6.50%7.50%
Year 1 PV (M)1,185.231,196.471,207.70
Year 2 PV (M)1,348.871,374.561,400.49
Year 3 PV (M)1,513.291,556.731,601.00
Year 4 PV (M)1,678.511,743.061,809.46
Year 5 PV (M)1,844.531,933.622,026.12
PV of Terminal Value (M)87,042.3591,246.5395,611.61
Equity Value (M)94,612.7799,050.96103,656.37
Shares Outstanding (M)2,963.592,963.592,963.59
Fair Value$31.93$33.42$34.98
Upside / Downside1,048.38%1,102.25%1,158.15%

High-Yield Dividend Screener

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