Definitive Analysis
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Definitive Analysis

Financial Statements

Mode

Ticker

Industry

Sector

AB Sagax (publ) (0QDX.IL)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: Real Estate - ServicesSector: Real Estate

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$288.50 - $1,536.93$521.70
Multi-Stage$175.11 - $191.32$183.07
Blended Fair Value$352.39
Current Price$196.30
Upside79.51%
DecisionBuy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR2024202320222021202020192018201720162015
DPS18.36%21.09%3.523.002.532.141.841.511.291.040.810.65
YoY Growth--17.10%18.82%18.06%16.64%21.25%16.91%24.09%29.10%23.55%26.04%
Dividend Yield--1.67%1.09%1.06%0.75%0.97%1.51%1.44%2.09%1.88%1.93%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)3,248.00
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)1,374.00
(=) Cash Retained (M)1,874.00
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)649.60406.00243.60
Cash Retained (M)1,874.001,874.001,874.00
(-) Cash Required (M)-649.60-406.00-243.60
(=) Excess Retained (M)1,224.401,468.001,630.40
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)370.03370.03370.03
(=) Excess Retained per Share3.313.974.41
LTM Dividend per Share3.713.713.71
(+) Excess Retained per Share3.313.974.41
(=) Adjusted Dividend7.027.688.12
WACC / Discount Rate8.07%8.07%8.07%
Growth Rate5.50%6.50%7.50%
Fair Value$288.50$521.70$1,536.93
Upside / Downside46.97%165.77%682.95%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)3,248.003,459.123,683.963,923.424,178.444,450.044,583.54
Payout Ratio42.30%51.84%61.38%70.92%80.46%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)1,374.001,793.292,261.282,782.543,362.004,005.044,239.78

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate8.07%8.07%8.07%
Growth Rate5.50%6.50%7.50%
Year 1 PV (M)1,643.831,659.411,674.99
Year 2 PV (M)1,900.061,936.251,972.78
Year 3 PV (M)2,143.182,204.712,267.39
Year 4 PV (M)2,373.682,464.962,558.86
Year 5 PV (M)2,592.012,717.212,847.19
PV of Terminal Value (M)54,143.2656,758.4059,473.63
Equity Value (M)64,796.0267,740.9370,794.84
Shares Outstanding (M)370.03370.03370.03
Fair Value$175.11$183.07$191.32
Upside / Downside-10.79%-6.74%-2.53%

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