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Definitive Analysis

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Power Assets Holdings Limited (0006.HK)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: Independent Power ProducersSector: Utilities

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$579.28 - $1,138.97$1,067.38
Multi-Stage$183.45 - $200.43$191.79
Blended Fair Value$629.58
Current Price$50.45
Upside1,147.94%
DecisionBuy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR2024202320222021202020192018201720162015
DPS0.11%0.92%2.822.822.822.822.802.808.8115.312.722.69
YoY Growth--0.02%-0.17%0.00%0.72%0.00%-68.18%-42.44%462.14%1.11%4.67%
Dividend Yield--5.20%6.22%6.61%5.81%6.68%4.92%16.17%23.17%4.74%4.49%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)12,205.00
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)12,020.00
(=) Cash Retained (M)185.00
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)2,441.001,525.63915.38
Cash Retained (M)185.00185.00185.00
(-) Cash Required (M)-2,441.00-1,525.63-915.38
(=) Excess Retained (M)-2,256.00-1,340.63-730.38
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)2,131.112,131.112,131.11
(=) Excess Retained per Share-1.06-0.63-0.34
LTM Dividend per Share5.645.645.64
(+) Excess Retained per Share-1.06-0.63-0.34
(=) Adjusted Dividend4.585.015.30
WACC / Discount Rate6.33%6.33%6.33%
Growth Rate5.50%6.50%7.50%
Fair Value$579.28$1,067.38$1,138.97
Upside / Downside1,048.22%2,015.73%2,157.63%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)12,205.0012,998.3313,843.2214,743.0315,701.3216,721.9117,223.56
Payout Ratio98.48%96.79%95.09%93.39%91.70%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)12,020.0012,580.7413,163.5913,769.0614,397.6215,049.7215,931.80

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate6.33%6.33%6.33%
Growth Rate5.50%6.50%7.50%
Year 1 PV (M)11,720.2011,831.2911,942.39
Year 2 PV (M)11,424.3711,641.9711,861.63
Year 3 PV (M)11,132.4611,452.0311,777.66
Year 4 PV (M)10,844.4211,261.4711,690.43
Year 5 PV (M)10,560.2211,070.2911,599.87
PV of Terminal Value (M)335,264.87351,458.29368,271.47
Equity Value (M)390,946.54408,715.33427,143.43
Shares Outstanding (M)2,131.112,131.112,131.11
Fair Value$183.45$191.79$200.43
Upside / Downside263.62%280.15%297.29%

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