Definitive Analysis
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Definitive Analysis

Financial Statements

Company Industry Sector

Fundamentals

Margins Returns Growth Rates Metrics/Ratios

Valuations

Projections DCF DDM EPV Multiples Valuations

Miscellaneous

Indicators Charts WACC Beta Predictability

Mode

Company Industry Sector

Ticker

Industry

Sector

Sonae, SGPS, S.A. (YSON.F)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: Department StoresSector: Consumer Cyclical

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$21.99 - $25.94$24.29
Multi-Stage$170.68 - $188.75$179.53
Blended Fair Value$101.91
Current Price$1.33
Upside7,562.60%
DecisionBuy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR202420232022202120202019201820172016
DPS-12.26%0.00%0.080.080.050.050.090.160.070.040.000.00
YoY Growth---0.63%64.79%2.11%-45.23%-43.23%113.53%81.53%2,866.43%0.00%0.00%
Dividend Yield--7.71%9.44%4.94%4.79%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)272.99
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)164.87
(=) Cash Retained (M)108.12
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)54.6034.1220.47
Cash Retained (M)108.12108.12108.12
(-) Cash Required (M)-54.60-34.12-20.47
(=) Excess Retained (M)53.5273.9987.64
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)1,946.951,946.951,946.95
(=) Excess Retained per Share0.030.040.05
LTM Dividend per Share0.080.080.08
(+) Excess Retained per Share0.030.040.05
(=) Adjusted Dividend0.110.120.13
WACC / Discount Rate-40.89%-40.89%-40.89%
Growth Rate-2.00%-1.00%0.00%
Fair Value$21.99$24.29$25.94
Upside / Downside1,553.05%1,726.48%1,850.35%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)272.99270.26267.56264.88262.23259.61267.40
Payout Ratio60.40%66.32%72.24%78.16%84.08%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)164.87179.23193.28207.03220.48233.65247.35

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate-40.89%-40.89%-40.89%
Growth Rate-2.00%-1.00%0.00%
Year 1 PV (M)300.13303.19306.25
Year 2 PV (M)541.97553.09564.32
Year 3 PV (M)972.131,002.191,032.87
Year 4 PV (M)1,733.691,805.541,879.60
Year 5 PV (M)3,076.513,236.713,403.52
PV of Terminal Value (M)325,683.03342,642.10360,300.41
Equity Value (M)332,307.46349,542.83367,486.97
Shares Outstanding (M)1,946.951,946.951,946.95
Fair Value$170.68$179.53$188.75
Upside / Downside12,733.13%13,398.73%14,091.70%

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