Definitive Analysis
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Definitive Analysis

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Wüstenrot & Württembergische AG (WUW.DE)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: Insurance - LifeSector: Financial Services

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$10.57 - $15.32$12.87
Multi-Stage$26.03 - $28.69$27.34
Blended Fair Value$20.10
Current Price$13.66
Upside47.18%
DecisionBuy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR2024202320222021202020192018201720162015
DPS0.03%12.78%0.650.650.650.650.650.650.650.600.600.50
YoY Growth--0.14%0.00%0.05%-0.07%0.04%0.08%8.42%0.08%19.65%155.84%
Dividend Yield--4.88%4.89%3.99%3.56%3.66%4.65%3.69%3.13%3.22%2.69%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)139.00
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)61.00
(=) Cash Retained (M)78.00
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)27.8017.3810.43
Cash Retained (M)78.0078.0078.00
(-) Cash Required (M)-27.80-17.38-10.43
(=) Excess Retained (M)50.2060.6367.58
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)93.6493.6493.64
(=) Excess Retained per Share0.540.650.72
LTM Dividend per Share0.650.650.65
(+) Excess Retained per Share0.540.650.72
(=) Adjusted Dividend1.191.301.37
WACC / Discount Rate6.73%6.73%6.73%
Growth Rate-4.05%-3.05%-2.05%
Fair Value$10.57$12.87$15.32
Upside / Downside-22.63%-5.76%12.12%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)139.00134.77130.66126.68122.82119.08122.65
Payout Ratio43.88%53.11%62.33%71.55%80.78%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)61.0071.5781.4490.6499.21107.17113.45

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate6.73%6.73%6.73%
Growth Rate-4.05%-3.05%-2.05%
Year 1 PV (M)66.3667.0667.75
Year 2 PV (M)70.0271.4972.97
Year 3 PV (M)72.2674.5576.88
Year 4 PV (M)73.3476.4479.64
Year 5 PV (M)73.4677.3681.44
PV of Terminal Value (M)2,082.142,192.922,308.37
Equity Value (M)2,437.582,559.822,687.05
Shares Outstanding (M)93.6493.6493.64
Fair Value$26.03$27.34$28.69
Upside / Downside90.56%100.11%110.06%

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