Definitive Analysis
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Definitive Analysis

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The Western Union Company (WU)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: Financial - Credit ServicesSector: Financial Services

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$13.65 - $19.09$16.36
Multi-Stage$28.67 - $31.57$30.09
Blended Fair Value$23.23
Current Price$7.99
Upside190.68%
DecisionBuy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR2024202320222021202020192018201720162015
DPS-1.16%1.94%0.961.041.091.141.111.021.020.970.930.94
YoY Growth---7.88%-4.17%-4.56%3.05%8.66%-0.26%4.94%4.29%-1.36%19.34%
Dividend Yield--9.07%7.58%9.75%6.08%4.48%5.61%5.46%5.05%4.58%4.90%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)770.90
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)314.20
(=) Cash Retained (M)456.70
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)154.1896.3657.82
Cash Retained (M)456.70456.70456.70
(-) Cash Required (M)-154.18-96.36-57.82
(=) Excess Retained (M)302.52360.34398.88
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)335.10335.10335.10
(=) Excess Retained per Share0.901.081.19
LTM Dividend per Share0.940.940.94
(+) Excess Retained per Share0.901.081.19
(=) Adjusted Dividend1.842.012.13
WACC / Discount Rate8.01%8.01%8.01%
Growth Rate-4.83%-3.83%-2.83%
Fair Value$13.65$16.36$19.09
Upside / Downside70.80%104.73%138.86%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)770.90741.41713.04685.76659.52634.29653.32
Payout Ratio40.76%50.61%60.45%70.30%80.15%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)314.20375.20431.07482.11528.62570.86604.32

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate8.01%8.01%8.01%
Growth Rate-4.83%-3.83%-2.83%
Year 1 PV (M)343.76347.38350.99
Year 2 PV (M)361.86369.51377.23
Year 3 PV (M)370.81382.62394.68
Year 4 PV (M)372.52388.42404.83
Year 5 PV (M)368.58388.36408.97
PV of Terminal Value (M)7,789.868,207.798,643.47
Equity Value (M)9,607.3910,084.0710,580.18
Shares Outstanding (M)335.10335.10335.10
Fair Value$28.67$30.09$31.57
Upside / Downside258.83%276.63%295.16%

High-Yield Dividend Screener

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