Definitive Analysis
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Definitive Analysis

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Company Industry Sector

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Joint Stock Company "World Trade Center Moscow" (WTCM.ME)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: Real Estate - ServicesSector: Real Estate

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$165.68 - $385.67$242.93
Multi-Stage$210.71 - $231.33$220.83
Blended Fair Value$231.88
Current Price$12.52
Upside1,752.07%
DecisionBuy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR2024202320222021202020192018201720162015
DPS4.08%7.70%0.800.650.650.650.670.650.560.380.380.38
YoY Growth--22.15%0.01%0.00%-2.21%2.26%16.67%46.94%0.39%-0.52%0.37%
Dividend Yield--5.73%5.35%8.59%6.77%7.00%7.90%7.82%5.25%4.19%4.21%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)7,463.98
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)1,815.88
(=) Cash Retained (M)5,648.10
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)1,492.80933.00559.80
Cash Retained (M)5,648.105,648.105,648.10
(-) Cash Required (M)-1,492.80-933.00-559.80
(=) Excess Retained (M)4,155.314,715.105,088.30
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)910.59910.59910.59
(=) Excess Retained per Share4.565.185.59
LTM Dividend per Share1.991.991.99
(+) Excess Retained per Share4.565.185.59
(=) Adjusted Dividend6.567.177.58
WACC / Discount Rate6.42%6.42%6.42%
Growth Rate2.37%3.37%4.37%
Fair Value$165.68$242.93$385.67
Upside / Downside1,223.29%1,840.36%2,980.42%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)7,463.987,715.737,975.988,244.998,523.098,810.569,074.88
Payout Ratio24.33%37.46%50.60%63.73%76.87%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)1,815.882,890.534,035.625,254.656,551.337,929.508,394.26

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate6.42%6.42%6.42%
Growth Rate2.37%3.37%4.37%
Year 1 PV (M)2,689.762,716.032,742.31
Year 2 PV (M)3,494.473,563.073,632.34
Year 3 PV (M)4,234.004,359.294,487.03
Year 4 PV (M)4,912.155,106.915,307.41
Year 5 PV (M)5,532.525,808.076,094.49
PV of Terminal Value (M)171,011.13179,528.27188,381.44
Equity Value (M)191,874.02201,081.64210,645.01
Shares Outstanding (M)910.59910.59910.59
Fair Value$210.71$220.83$231.33
Upside / Downside1,583.02%1,663.78%1,747.67%

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