Definitive Analysis
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Definitive Analysis

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Company Industry Sector

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Industry

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Wyndham Hotels & Resorts, Inc. (WH)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: Travel LodgingSector: Consumer Cyclical

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$30.37 - $43.64$36.85
Multi-Stage$49.48 - $54.30$51.84
Blended Fair Value$44.35
Current Price$79.90
Upside-44.50%
DecisionDon't Buy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR2024202320222021202020192018201720162015
DPS1.73%0.00%1.561.511.491.050.681.432.380.000.000.00
YoY Growth--3.39%1.72%41.46%54.72%-52.68%-39.78%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%
Dividend Yield--1.73%2.00%2.19%1.24%0.97%4.55%4.67%0.00%0.00%0.00%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)338.00
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)126.00
(=) Cash Retained (M)212.00
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)67.6042.2525.35
Cash Retained (M)212.00212.00212.00
(-) Cash Required (M)-67.60-42.25-25.35
(=) Excess Retained (M)144.40169.75186.65
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)78.1078.1078.10
(=) Excess Retained per Share1.852.172.39
LTM Dividend per Share1.611.611.61
(+) Excess Retained per Share1.852.172.39
(=) Adjusted Dividend3.463.794.00
WACC / Discount Rate9.17%9.17%9.17%
Growth Rate-2.00%-1.00%0.00%
Fair Value$30.37$36.85$43.64
Upside / Downside-61.99%-53.88%-45.38%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)338.00334.62331.27327.96324.68321.43331.08
Payout Ratio37.28%47.82%58.37%68.91%79.46%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)126.00160.02193.35226.00257.98289.29306.25

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate9.17%9.17%9.17%
Growth Rate-2.00%-1.00%0.00%
Year 1 PV (M)145.10146.58148.06
Year 2 PV (M)158.96162.23165.52
Year 3 PV (M)168.47173.68179.00
Year 4 PV (M)174.37181.60189.05
Year 5 PV (M)177.30186.53196.14
PV of Terminal Value (M)3,040.163,198.473,363.31
Equity Value (M)3,864.374,049.084,241.07
Shares Outstanding (M)78.1078.1078.10
Fair Value$49.48$51.84$54.30
Upside / Downside-38.07%-35.11%-32.04%

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