Definitive Analysis
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Definitive Analysis

Financial Statements

Company Industry Sector

Fundamentals

Margins Returns Growth Rates Metrics/Ratios

Valuations

Projections DCF DDM EPV Multiples Valuations

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Indicators Charts WACC Beta Predictability

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Company

Ticker

Industry

Sector

WEG S.A. (WEGE3.SA)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: Industrial - MachinerySector: Industrials

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$29.64 - $64.03$42.35
Multi-Stage$22.38 - $24.40$23.37
Blended Fair Value$32.86
Current Price$36.59
Upside-10.19%
DecisionDon't Buy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR2024202320222021202020192018201720162015
DPS33.93%20.37%0.700.550.450.390.210.160.140.130.130.12
YoY Growth--27.12%22.31%13.89%88.05%29.43%12.74%10.11%4.13%1.31%13.14%
Dividend Yield--1.54%1.43%1.07%1.08%0.53%0.90%1.46%1.37%1.67%2.01%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)6,482.75
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)3,167.81
(=) Cash Retained (M)3,314.94
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)1,296.55810.34486.21
Cash Retained (M)3,314.943,314.943,314.94
(-) Cash Required (M)-1,296.55-810.34-486.21
(=) Excess Retained (M)2,018.392,504.602,828.74
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)4,196.474,196.474,196.47
(=) Excess Retained per Share0.480.600.67
LTM Dividend per Share0.750.750.75
(+) Excess Retained per Share0.480.600.67
(=) Adjusted Dividend1.241.351.43
WACC / Discount Rate9.90%9.90%9.90%
Growth Rate5.50%6.50%7.50%
Fair Value$29.64$42.35$64.03
Upside / Downside-19.00%15.75%75.00%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)6,482.756,904.137,352.907,830.848,339.848,881.939,148.39
Payout Ratio48.87%57.09%65.32%73.55%81.77%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)3,167.813,941.724,802.855,759.286,819.747,993.748,462.26

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate9.90%9.90%9.90%
Growth Rate5.50%6.50%7.50%
Year 1 PV (M)3,553.003,586.673,620.35
Year 2 PV (M)3,902.273,976.604,051.63
Year 3 PV (M)4,217.894,338.984,462.35
Year 4 PV (M)4,502.004,675.134,853.21
Year 5 PV (M)4,756.604,986.345,224.88
PV of Terminal Value (M)72,987.7376,513.0780,173.32
Equity Value (M)93,919.4998,076.79102,385.75
Shares Outstanding (M)4,196.474,196.474,196.47
Fair Value$22.38$23.37$24.40
Upside / Downside-38.83%-36.13%-33.32%

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