Definitive Analysis
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Definitive Analysis

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Verizon Communications Inc. (VZ)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: Telecommunications ServicesSector: Communication Services

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$52.02 - $85.06$66.78
Multi-Stage$100.66 - $110.59$105.53
Blended Fair Value$86.15
Current Price$43.25
Upside99.20%
DecisionBuy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR2024202320222021202020192018201720162015
DPS2.35%3.73%2.662.612.562.472.422.372.312.242.192.02
YoY Growth--2.03%2.04%3.45%2.08%2.16%2.50%3.17%2.27%8.48%9.42%
Dividend Yield--5.87%6.17%6.57%4.85%4.16%4.41%3.91%4.69%4.49%3.73%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)19,837.00
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)11,419.00
(=) Cash Retained (M)8,418.00
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)3,967.402,479.631,487.78
Cash Retained (M)8,418.008,418.008,418.00
(-) Cash Required (M)-3,967.40-2,479.63-1,487.78
(=) Excess Retained (M)4,450.605,938.386,930.23
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)4,227.134,227.134,227.13
(=) Excess Retained per Share1.051.401.64
LTM Dividend per Share2.702.702.70
(+) Excess Retained per Share1.051.401.64
(=) Adjusted Dividend3.754.114.34
WACC / Discount Rate6.67%6.67%6.67%
Growth Rate-0.51%0.49%1.49%
Fair Value$52.02$66.78$85.06
Upside / Downside20.29%54.39%96.67%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)19,837.0019,933.4220,030.3020,127.6520,225.4820,323.7820,933.50
Payout Ratio57.56%64.05%70.54%77.03%83.51%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)11,419.0012,767.6214,129.0715,503.4616,890.8718,291.4119,363.49

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate6.67%6.67%6.67%
Growth Rate-0.51%0.49%1.49%
Year 1 PV (M)11,850.6911,969.8112,088.92
Year 2 PV (M)12,172.5412,418.4712,666.87
Year 3 PV (M)12,397.3812,774.9913,160.19
Year 4 PV (M)12,536.8113,048.5213,575.74
Year 5 PV (M)12,601.3113,247.4913,919.91
PV of Terminal Value (M)363,962.54382,626.13402,047.63
Equity Value (M)425,521.26446,085.42467,459.28
Shares Outstanding (M)4,227.134,227.134,227.13
Fair Value$100.66$105.53$110.59
Upside / Downside132.75%144.00%155.69%

High-Yield Dividend Screener

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