Definitive Analysis
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Definitive Analysis

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Company Industry Sector

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Company Industry Sector

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Industry

Sector

Viad Corp (VVI)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: Specialty Business ServicesSector: Industrials

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$83.02 - $116.42$99.63
Multi-Stage$124.94 - $137.52$131.11
Blended Fair Value$115.37
Current Price$40.96
Upside181.66%
DecisionBuy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR2024202320222021202020192018201720162015
DPS-0.73%-14.73%0.290.000.000.000.150.300.310.310.300.30
YoY Growth--0.00%0.00%0.00%-100.00%-49.79%-0.74%-0.07%0.60%0.93%-79.07%
Dividend Yield--0.72%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.37%1.43%0.54%0.58%0.67%1.04%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)357.89
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)1.95
(=) Cash Retained (M)355.94
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)71.5844.7426.84
Cash Retained (M)355.94355.94355.94
(-) Cash Required (M)-71.58-44.74-26.84
(=) Excess Retained (M)284.36311.20329.10
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)26.6026.6026.60
(=) Excess Retained per Share10.6911.7012.37
LTM Dividend per Share0.070.070.07
(+) Excess Retained per Share10.6911.7012.37
(=) Adjusted Dividend10.7711.7712.45
WACC / Discount Rate9.88%9.88%9.88%
Growth Rate-2.73%-1.73%-0.73%
Fair Value$83.02$99.63$116.42
Upside / Downside102.68%143.24%184.23%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)357.89351.68345.58339.59333.70327.91337.74
Payout Ratio0.54%18.44%36.33%54.22%72.11%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)1.9564.84125.54184.12240.62295.12312.41

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate9.88%9.88%9.88%
Growth Rate-2.73%-1.73%-0.73%
Year 1 PV (M)58.4159.0159.61
Year 2 PV (M)101.88103.98106.11
Year 3 PV (M)134.59138.79143.07
Year 4 PV (M)158.46165.08171.90
Year 5 PV (M)175.07184.26193.83
PV of Terminal Value (M)2,694.342,835.722,982.98
Equity Value (M)3,322.753,486.833,657.49
Shares Outstanding (M)26.6026.6026.60
Fair Value$124.94$131.11$137.52
Upside / Downside205.02%220.08%235.75%

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