Definitive Analysis
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Definitive Analysis

Financial Statements

Company Industry Sector

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Margins Returns Growth Rates Metrics/Ratios

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Projections DCF DDM EPV Multiples Valuations

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Company Industry Sector

Ticker

Industry

Sector

Vantage Towers AG (VTWR.DE)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: Real Estate - ServicesSector: Real Estate

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$18.64 - $29.80$23.71
Multi-Stage$51.11 - $56.27$53.64
Blended Fair Value$38.67
Current Price$33.82
Upside14.34%
DecisionDon't Buy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR202320222021
DPS0.00%0.00%0.700.620.620.000.000.000.000.000.000.00
YoY Growth--12.46%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%
Dividend Yield--2.06%1.93%2.58%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)830.00
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)601.90
(=) Cash Retained (M)228.10
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)166.00103.7562.25
Cash Retained (M)228.10228.10228.10
(-) Cash Required (M)-166.00-103.75-62.25
(=) Excess Retained (M)62.10124.35165.85
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)457.00457.00457.00
(=) Excess Retained per Share0.140.270.36
LTM Dividend per Share1.321.321.32
(+) Excess Retained per Share0.140.270.36
(=) Adjusted Dividend1.451.591.68
WACC / Discount Rate5.64%5.64%5.64%
Growth Rate-2.00%-1.00%0.00%
Fair Value$18.64$23.71$29.80
Upside / Downside-44.87%-29.91%-11.88%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)830.00821.70813.48805.35797.29789.32813.00
Payout Ratio72.52%76.01%79.51%83.01%86.50%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)601.90624.61646.81668.50689.69710.39752.03

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate5.64%5.64%5.64%
Growth Rate-2.00%-1.00%0.00%
Year 1 PV (M)585.31591.28597.25
Year 2 PV (M)567.97579.62591.39
Year 3 PV (M)550.08567.09584.45
Year 4 PV (M)531.81553.85576.57
Year 5 PV (M)513.30540.03567.86
PV of Terminal Value (M)20,607.0521,680.1122,797.41
Equity Value (M)23,355.5224,511.9825,714.93
Shares Outstanding (M)457.00457.00457.00
Fair Value$51.11$53.64$56.27
Upside / Downside51.11%58.59%66.38%

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