Definitive Analysis
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Definitive Analysis

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Company Industry Sector

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Margins Returns Growth Rates Metrics/Ratios

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Company Industry Sector

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Sector

Verisk Analytics, Inc. (VRSK)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: Consulting ServicesSector: Industrials

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$154.26 - $417.86$237.41
Multi-Stage$129.32 - $141.57$135.33
Blended Fair Value$186.37
Current Price$251.51
Upside-25.90%
DecisionDon't Buy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR2024202320222021202020192018201720162015
DPS6.24%0.00%1.571.401.391.341.251.160.000.000.000.00
YoY Growth--12.45%0.82%3.72%7.05%7.52%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%
Dividend Yield--0.53%0.60%0.72%0.62%0.71%0.83%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)921.40
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)243.30
(=) Cash Retained (M)678.10
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)184.28115.1869.11
Cash Retained (M)678.10678.10678.10
(-) Cash Required (M)-184.28-115.18-69.11
(=) Excess Retained (M)493.82562.93609.00
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)140.70140.70140.70
(=) Excess Retained per Share3.514.004.33
LTM Dividend per Share1.731.731.73
(+) Excess Retained per Share3.514.004.33
(=) Adjusted Dividend5.245.736.06
WACC / Discount Rate7.78%7.78%7.78%
Growth Rate4.24%5.24%6.24%
Fair Value$154.26$237.41$417.86
Upside / Downside-38.67%-5.61%66.14%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)921.40969.691,020.511,074.001,130.291,189.531,225.22
Payout Ratio26.41%39.12%51.84%64.56%77.28%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)243.30379.39529.07693.40873.501,070.581,133.33

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate7.78%7.78%7.78%
Growth Rate4.24%5.24%6.24%
Year 1 PV (M)348.65352.00355.34
Year 2 PV (M)446.82455.43464.13
Year 3 PV (M)538.16553.80569.74
Year 4 PV (M)623.03647.28672.23
Year 5 PV (M)701.73736.04771.68
PV of Terminal Value (M)15,537.0516,296.7317,085.84
Equity Value (M)18,195.4419,041.2819,918.96
Shares Outstanding (M)140.70140.70140.70
Fair Value$129.32$135.33$141.57
Upside / Downside-48.58%-46.19%-43.71%

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