Definitive Analysis
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Definitive Analysis

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VRG S.A. (VRG.WA)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: Apparel - ManufacturersSector: Consumer Cyclical

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$6.17 - $11.56$8.37
Multi-Stage$6.41 - $7.02$6.71
Blended Fair Value$7.54
Current Price$4.84
Upside55.73%
DecisionBuy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR2024202320222021202020192018201720162015
DPS0.00%0.00%0.090.200.170.000.000.000.000.000.000.00
YoY Growth---55.00%17.65%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%
Dividend Yield--2.46%6.38%5.17%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)94.25
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)21.10
(=) Cash Retained (M)73.15
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)18.8511.787.07
Cash Retained (M)73.1573.1573.15
(-) Cash Required (M)-18.85-11.78-7.07
(=) Excess Retained (M)54.3061.3766.08
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)234.13234.13234.13
(=) Excess Retained per Share0.230.260.28
LTM Dividend per Share0.090.090.09
(+) Excess Retained per Share0.230.260.28
(=) Adjusted Dividend0.320.350.37
WACC / Discount Rate8.56%8.56%8.56%
Growth Rate3.18%4.18%5.18%
Fair Value$6.17$8.37$11.56
Upside / Downside27.45%72.84%138.94%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)94.2598.19102.29106.56111.01115.65119.12
Payout Ratio22.39%35.91%49.43%62.96%76.48%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)21.1035.2650.5667.0984.90104.09110.19

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate8.56%8.56%8.56%
Growth Rate3.18%4.18%5.18%
Year 1 PV (M)32.1732.4832.79
Year 2 PV (M)42.0842.9043.73
Year 3 PV (M)50.9352.4353.95
Year 4 PV (M)58.8061.1263.50
Year 5 PV (M)65.7769.0272.39
PV of Terminal Value (M)1,251.131,312.951,377.19
Equity Value (M)1,500.891,570.891,643.55
Shares Outstanding (M)234.13234.13234.13
Fair Value$6.41$6.71$7.02
Upside / Downside32.45%38.62%45.04%

High-Yield Dividend Screener

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