Definitive Analysis
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Definitive Analysis

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Company Industry Sector

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Sector

VIEL & Cie, S.A. (VIL.PA)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: Financial - Capital MarketsSector: Financial Services

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$102.80 - $578.94$187.73
Multi-Stage$60.20 - $65.87$62.98
Blended Fair Value$125.36
Current Price$15.30
Upside719.33%
DecisionBuy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR2024202320222021202020192018201720162015
DPS7.91%19.61%0.380.340.290.280.250.260.220.190.170.16
YoY Growth--13.20%15.18%5.64%11.01%-4.28%18.36%16.24%13.52%5.07%149.55%
Dividend Yield--3.33%3.98%4.98%4.78%4.22%5.57%5.27%3.55%3.86%4.59%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)202.46
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)25.20
(=) Cash Retained (M)177.27
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)40.4925.3115.18
Cash Retained (M)177.27177.27177.27
(-) Cash Required (M)-40.49-25.31-15.18
(=) Excess Retained (M)136.77151.96162.08
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)65.7265.7265.72
(=) Excess Retained per Share2.082.312.47
LTM Dividend per Share0.380.380.38
(+) Excess Retained per Share2.082.312.47
(=) Adjusted Dividend2.462.702.85
WACC / Discount Rate8.03%8.03%8.03%
Growth Rate5.50%6.50%7.50%
Fair Value$102.80$187.73$578.94
Upside / Downside571.89%1,127.01%3,683.92%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)202.46215.62229.64244.56260.46277.39285.71
Payout Ratio12.44%27.96%43.47%58.98%74.49%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)25.2060.2899.82144.24194.01249.65264.28

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate8.03%8.03%8.03%
Growth Rate5.50%6.50%7.50%
Year 1 PV (M)55.2755.8056.32
Year 2 PV (M)83.9385.5387.14
Year 3 PV (M)111.22114.41117.66
Year 4 PV (M)137.18142.45147.88
Year 5 PV (M)161.86169.68177.80
PV of Terminal Value (M)3,407.153,571.723,742.58
Equity Value (M)3,956.614,139.594,329.39
Shares Outstanding (M)65.7265.7265.72
Fair Value$60.20$62.98$65.87
Upside / Downside293.46%311.66%330.53%

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