Definitive Analysis
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Definitive Analysis

Financial Statements

Company Industry Sector

Fundamentals

Margins Returns Growth Rates Metrics/Ratios

Valuations

Projections DCF DDM EPV Multiples Valuations

Miscellaneous

Indicators Charts WACC Beta Predictability

Mode

Company Industry Sector

Ticker

Industry

Sector

Universal Corporation (UVV)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: TobaccoSector: Consumer Defensive

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$98.36 - $249.88$148.39
Multi-Stage$102.59 - $112.28$107.34
Blended Fair Value$127.87
Current Price$55.87
Upside128.87%
DecisionBuy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR2025202420232022202120202019201820172016
DPS1.12%5.35%3.173.123.083.042.993.002.782.171.981.88
YoY Growth--1.64%1.31%1.25%1.67%-0.25%7.85%27.76%9.78%5.15%0.11%
Dividend Yield--5.44%6.54%6.16%5.02%5.25%7.05%4.52%3.29%3.06%3.26%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)111.64
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)69.94
(=) Cash Retained (M)41.71
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)22.3313.968.37
Cash Retained (M)41.7141.7141.71
(-) Cash Required (M)-22.33-13.96-8.37
(=) Excess Retained (M)19.3827.7533.33
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)25.1525.1525.15
(=) Excess Retained per Share0.771.101.33
LTM Dividend per Share2.782.782.78
(+) Excess Retained per Share0.771.101.33
(=) Adjusted Dividend3.553.884.11
WACC / Discount Rate7.08%7.08%7.08%
Growth Rate3.35%4.35%5.35%
Fair Value$98.36$148.39$249.88
Upside / Downside76.04%165.60%347.25%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)111.64116.50121.56126.84132.35138.11142.25
Payout Ratio62.64%68.11%73.59%79.06%84.53%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)69.9479.3589.45100.28111.88124.29131.58

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate7.08%7.08%7.08%
Growth Rate3.35%4.35%5.35%
Year 1 PV (M)73.4074.1174.82
Year 2 PV (M)76.5378.0279.52
Year 3 PV (M)79.3581.6884.05
Year 4 PV (M)81.8985.1188.42
Year 5 PV (M)84.1588.3092.62
PV of Terminal Value (M)2,185.142,292.932,404.92
Equity Value (M)2,580.462,700.142,824.34
Shares Outstanding (M)25.1525.1525.15
Fair Value$102.59$107.34$112.28
Upside / Downside83.61%92.13%100.97%

High-Yield Dividend Screener

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