Definitive Analysis
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Definitive Analysis

Financial Statements

Company Industry Sector

Fundamentals

Margins Returns Growth Rates Metrics/Ratios

Valuations

Projections DCF DDM EPV Multiples Valuations

Miscellaneous

Indicators Charts WACC Beta Predictability

Mode

Company Industry Sector

Ticker

Industry

Sector

U.S. Bancorp PERP PFD SER A (USB-PA)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: Banks - RegionalSector: Financial Services

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$163.55 - $904.18$314.81
Multi-Stage$132.65 - $145.35$138.88
Blended Fair Value$226.85
Current Price$48.33
Upside369.37%
DecisionBuy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR2024202320222021202020192018201720162015
DPS4.82%6.00%1.981.911.781.651.641.571.341.241.161.14
YoY Growth--4.11%6.99%7.64%1.06%4.46%16.78%8.51%6.52%1.86%2.95%
Dividend Yield--4.70%4.33%4.94%3.11%2.96%4.55%2.73%2.45%2.25%2.81%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)7,188.00
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)3,140.00
(=) Cash Retained (M)4,048.00
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)1,437.60898.50539.10
Cash Retained (M)4,048.004,048.004,048.00
(-) Cash Required (M)-1,437.60-898.50-539.10
(=) Excess Retained (M)2,610.403,149.503,508.90
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)1,559.001,559.001,559.00
(=) Excess Retained per Share1.672.022.25
LTM Dividend per Share2.012.012.01
(+) Excess Retained per Share1.672.022.25
(=) Adjusted Dividend3.694.034.26
WACC / Discount Rate6.35%6.35%6.35%
Growth Rate4.00%5.00%6.00%
Fair Value$163.55$314.81$904.18
Upside / Downside238.39%551.37%1,770.84%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)7,188.007,547.657,925.298,321.828,738.209,175.419,450.67
Payout Ratio43.68%52.95%62.21%71.47%80.74%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)3,140.003,996.264,930.355,947.907,054.948,257.868,741.87

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate6.35%6.35%6.35%
Growth Rate4.00%5.00%6.00%
Year 1 PV (M)3,721.903,757.683,793.47
Year 2 PV (M)4,276.604,359.244,442.66
Year 3 PV (M)4,805.024,944.965,087.59
Year 4 PV (M)5,308.055,515.175,728.28
Year 5 PV (M)5,786.566,070.156,364.75
PV of Terminal Value (M)182,908.57191,872.69201,184.88
Equity Value (M)206,806.70216,519.89226,601.64
Shares Outstanding (M)1,559.001,559.001,559.00
Fair Value$132.65$138.88$145.35
Upside / Downside174.47%187.37%200.75%

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