Definitive Analysis
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Definitive Analysis

Financial Statements

Company Industry Sector

Fundamentals

Margins Returns Growth Rates Metrics/Ratios

Valuations

Projections DCF DDM EPV Multiples Valuations

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Mode

Company Industry Sector

Ticker

Industry

Sector

Unibel S.A. (UNBL.PA)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: Packaged FoodsSector: Consumer Defensive

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$715.40 - $1,120.40$901.62
Multi-Stage$1,127.83 - $1,237.99$1,181.85
Blended Fair Value$1,041.74
Current Price$980.00
Upside6.30%
DecisionDon't Buy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR2024202320222021202020192018201720162015
DPS-9.84%-6.41%9.0710.508.4011.037.4915.2217.5720.9120.1316.13
YoY Growth---13.64%25.00%-23.81%47.13%-50.78%-13.33%-15.99%3.85%24.85%-8.35%
Dividend Yield--0.93%1.05%0.85%1.11%1.27%2.62%2.39%2.35%2.14%1.61%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)151.90
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)51.80
(=) Cash Retained (M)100.10
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)30.3818.9911.39
Cash Retained (M)100.10100.10100.10
(-) Cash Required (M)-30.38-18.99-11.39
(=) Excess Retained (M)69.7281.1188.71
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)2.092.092.09
(=) Excess Retained per Share33.2838.7242.34
LTM Dividend per Share24.7324.7324.73
(+) Excess Retained per Share33.2838.7242.34
(=) Adjusted Dividend58.0163.4567.07
WACC / Discount Rate7.99%7.99%7.99%
Growth Rate-0.11%0.89%1.89%
Fair Value$715.40$901.62$1,120.40
Upside / Downside-27.00%-8.00%14.33%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)151.90153.25154.62155.99157.38158.78163.55
Payout Ratio34.10%45.28%56.46%67.64%78.82%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)51.8069.3987.30105.51124.05142.90151.28

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate7.99%7.99%7.99%
Growth Rate-0.11%0.89%1.89%
Year 1 PV (M)63.6264.2664.90
Year 2 PV (M)73.3874.8676.35
Year 3 PV (M)81.3283.7886.30
Year 4 PV (M)87.6591.2194.88
Year 5 PV (M)92.5897.30102.22
PV of Terminal Value (M)1,964.162,064.472,168.83
Equity Value (M)2,362.722,475.892,593.49
Shares Outstanding (M)2.092.092.09
Fair Value$1,127.83$1,181.85$1,237.99
Upside / Downside15.08%20.60%26.33%

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