Definitive Analysis
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Definitive Analysis

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Company Industry Sector

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Sector

UOL Group Limited (U14.SI)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: Real Estate - DevelopmentSector: Real Estate

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$35.47 - $117.99$57.85
Multi-Stage$53.62 - $58.94$56.23
Blended Fair Value$57.04
Current Price$6.18
Upside822.92%
DecisionBuy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR2024202320222021202020192018201720162015
DPS2.75%11.45%0.200.180.150.150.170.170.170.090.080.07
YoY Growth--11.12%20.05%0.03%-14.22%0.06%0.08%104.90%11.93%4.49%7.67%
Dividend Yield--3.88%2.92%2.23%2.11%2.27%2.10%2.82%0.95%1.27%1.17%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)1,136.39
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)321.08
(=) Cash Retained (M)815.32
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)227.28142.0585.23
Cash Retained (M)815.32815.32815.32
(-) Cash Required (M)-227.28-142.05-85.23
(=) Excess Retained (M)588.04673.27730.09
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)845.00845.00845.00
(=) Excess Retained per Share0.700.800.86
LTM Dividend per Share0.380.380.38
(+) Excess Retained per Share0.700.800.86
(=) Adjusted Dividend1.081.181.24
WACC / Discount Rate5.22%5.22%5.22%
Growth Rate2.12%3.12%4.12%
Fair Value$35.47$57.85$117.99
Upside / Downside473.92%836.03%1,809.20%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)1,136.391,171.901,208.531,246.291,285.241,325.401,365.16
Payout Ratio28.25%40.60%52.95%65.30%77.65%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)321.08475.83639.94813.85998.001,192.861,262.78

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate5.22%5.22%5.22%
Growth Rate2.12%3.12%4.12%
Year 1 PV (M)447.83452.21456.60
Year 2 PV (M)566.84577.99589.26
Year 3 PV (M)678.45698.58719.10
Year 4 PV (M)783.00814.12846.16
Year 5 PV (M)880.81924.79970.50
PV of Terminal Value (M)41,949.0644,043.4946,220.75
Equity Value (M)45,305.9947,511.1849,802.37
Shares Outstanding (M)845.00845.00845.00
Fair Value$53.62$56.23$58.94
Upside / Downside767.58%809.81%853.68%

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