Definitive Analysis
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Definitive Analysis

Financial Statements

Company Industry Sector

Fundamentals

Margins Returns Growth Rates Metrics/Ratios

Valuations

Projections DCF DDM EPV Multiples Valuations

Miscellaneous

Indicators Charts WACC Beta Predictability

Mode

Company Industry Sector

Ticker

Industry

Sector

T S Flour Mill Public Company Limited (TMILL.BK)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: Agricultural Farm ProductsSector: Consumer Defensive

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$0.74 - $1.08$0.90
Multi-Stage$1.38 - $1.52$1.45
Blended Fair Value$1.18
Current Price$2.20
Upside-46.49%
DecisionDon't Buy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR2024202320222021202020192018201720162015
DPS-21.17%-0.21%0.070.200.200.190.180.220.140.210.130.06
YoY Growth---66.67%0.00%5.00%5.26%-17.39%53.33%-30.11%56.36%140.02%-20.00%
Dividend Yield--3.86%5.41%5.22%4.87%5.39%9.01%4.85%6.31%3.89%1.94%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)39.80
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)19.93
(=) Cash Retained (M)19.87
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)7.964.982.99
Cash Retained (M)19.8719.8719.87
(-) Cash Required (M)-7.96-4.98-2.99
(=) Excess Retained (M)11.9114.8916.88
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)413.62413.62413.62
(=) Excess Retained per Share0.030.040.04
LTM Dividend per Share0.050.050.05
(+) Excess Retained per Share0.030.040.04
(=) Adjusted Dividend0.080.080.09
WACC / Discount Rate7.98%7.98%7.98%
Growth Rate-2.21%-1.21%-0.21%
Fair Value$0.74$0.90$1.08
Upside / Downside-66.42%-58.86%-50.71%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)39.8039.3238.8438.3737.9137.4538.57
Payout Ratio50.08%58.07%66.05%74.03%82.02%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)19.9322.8325.6628.4131.0933.7135.68

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate7.98%7.98%7.98%
Growth Rate-2.21%-1.21%-0.21%
Year 1 PV (M)20.9321.1421.36
Year 2 PV (M)21.5622.0022.45
Year 3 PV (M)21.8922.5623.26
Year 4 PV (M)21.9622.8723.81
Year 5 PV (M)21.8222.9624.15
PV of Terminal Value (M)463.73487.93513.13
Equity Value (M)571.89599.47628.15
Shares Outstanding (M)413.62413.62413.62
Fair Value$1.38$1.45$1.52
Upside / Downside-37.15%-34.12%-30.97%

High-Yield Dividend Screener

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