Definitive Analysis
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Definitive Analysis

Financial Statements

Company Industry Sector

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Margins Returns Growth Rates Metrics/Ratios

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Company Industry Sector

Ticker

Industry

Sector

Theon International PLC (THEON.AS)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: Aerospace & DefenseSector: Industrials

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$6.94 - $9.86$8.38
Multi-Stage$11.04 - $12.10$11.56
Blended Fair Value$9.97
Current Price$30.45
Upside-67.25%
DecisionDon't Buy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR202420232022202120202019
DPS0.00%0.00%0.210.000.000.000.000.000.000.000.000.00
YoY Growth--0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%
Dividend Yield--0.87%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)72.79
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)38.24
(=) Cash Retained (M)34.56
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)14.569.105.46
Cash Retained (M)34.5634.5634.56
(-) Cash Required (M)-14.56-9.10-5.46
(=) Excess Retained (M)20.0025.4629.10
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)69.5869.5869.58
(=) Excess Retained per Share0.290.370.42
LTM Dividend per Share0.550.550.55
(+) Excess Retained per Share0.290.370.42
(=) Adjusted Dividend0.840.920.97
WACC / Discount Rate9.81%9.81%9.81%
Growth Rate-2.00%-1.00%0.00%
Fair Value$6.94$8.38$9.86
Upside / Downside-77.20%-72.47%-67.61%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)72.7972.0771.3570.6369.9369.2371.30
Payout Ratio52.53%60.02%67.52%75.01%82.51%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)38.2443.2648.1752.9857.6962.3065.96

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate9.81%9.81%9.81%
Growth Rate-2.00%-1.00%0.00%
Year 1 PV (M)38.9939.3939.79
Year 2 PV (M)39.1439.9540.76
Year 3 PV (M)38.8140.0141.24
Year 4 PV (M)38.1039.6841.30
Year 5 PV (M)37.0939.0241.03
PV of Terminal Value (M)576.36606.38637.63
Equity Value (M)768.50804.42841.74
Shares Outstanding (M)69.5869.5869.58
Fair Value$11.04$11.56$12.10
Upside / Downside-63.73%-62.03%-60.27%

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