Definitive Analysis
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Definitive Analysis

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Logwin AG (TGHN.DE)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: Integrated Freight & LogisticsSector: Industrials

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$1,086.37 - $2,967.17$1,676.15
Multi-Stage$1,223.94 - $1,341.19$1,281.47
Blended Fair Value$1,478.81
Current Price$238.00
Upside521.35%
DecisionBuy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR2024202320222021202020192018201720162015
DPS31.90%0.00%14.0024.006.003.503.513.512.502.000.000.00
YoY Growth---41.67%300.01%71.33%-0.11%-0.01%39.99%25.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%
Dividend Yield--5.83%9.30%2.22%1.28%2.35%2.21%2.07%1.47%0.00%0.00%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)133.56
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)77.16
(=) Cash Retained (M)56.40
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)26.7116.7010.02
Cash Retained (M)56.4056.4056.40
(-) Cash Required (M)-26.71-16.70-10.02
(=) Excess Retained (M)29.6939.7046.38
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)2.882.882.88
(=) Excess Retained per Share10.3113.7916.11
LTM Dividend per Share26.8026.8026.80
(+) Excess Retained per Share10.3113.7916.11
(=) Adjusted Dividend37.1140.5942.91
WACC / Discount Rate6.52%6.52%6.52%
Growth Rate3.00%4.00%5.00%
Fair Value$1,086.37$1,676.15$2,967.17
Upside / Downside356.46%604.26%1,146.71%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)133.56138.90144.45150.22156.23162.47167.35
Payout Ratio57.77%64.22%70.66%77.11%83.55%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)77.1689.20102.07115.84130.54146.23154.80

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate6.52%6.52%6.52%
Growth Rate3.00%4.00%5.00%
Year 1 PV (M)82.9483.7484.55
Year 2 PV (M)88.2589.9791.71
Year 3 PV (M)93.1295.8598.65
Year 4 PV (M)97.57101.41105.37
Year 5 PV (M)101.62106.65111.88
PV of Terminal Value (M)3,060.503,211.993,369.41
Equity Value (M)3,523.993,689.623,861.56
Shares Outstanding (M)2.882.882.88
Fair Value$1,223.94$1,281.47$1,341.19
Upside / Downside414.26%438.43%463.52%

High-Yield Dividend Screener

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