Definitive Analysis
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Definitive Analysis

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Texaf S.A. (TEXF.BR)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: Real Estate - ServicesSector: Real Estate

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$489.82 - $1,067.39$1,000.30
Multi-Stage$163.65 - $178.98$171.18
Blended Fair Value$585.74
Current Price$33.80
Upside1,632.96%
DecisionBuy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR2024202320222021202020192018201720162015
DPS11.84%16.80%1.641.571.430.690.600.940.790.660.560.46
YoY Growth--4.55%10.00%106.63%14.50%-35.68%19.27%18.77%19.18%19.87%33.41%
Dividend Yield--4.69%4.76%4.25%2.13%1.59%2.52%2.92%2.18%1.70%1.39%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)19.68
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)12.47
(=) Cash Retained (M)7.21
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)3.942.461.48
Cash Retained (M)7.217.217.21
(-) Cash Required (M)-3.94-2.46-1.48
(=) Excess Retained (M)3.284.755.74
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)3.673.673.67
(=) Excess Retained per Share0.891.301.56
LTM Dividend per Share3.403.403.40
(+) Excess Retained per Share0.891.301.56
(=) Adjusted Dividend4.294.704.96
WACC / Discount Rate6.42%6.42%6.42%
Growth Rate5.50%6.50%7.50%
Fair Value$489.82$1,000.30$1,067.39
Upside / Downside1,349.18%2,859.48%3,057.97%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)19.6820.9622.3223.7725.3226.9627.77
Payout Ratio63.35%68.68%74.01%79.34%84.67%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)12.4714.3916.5218.8621.4424.2725.69

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate6.42%6.42%6.42%
Growth Rate5.50%6.50%7.50%
Year 1 PV (M)13.4013.5313.65
Year 2 PV (M)14.3114.5914.86
Year 3 PV (M)15.2115.6516.09
Year 4 PV (M)16.0916.7117.35
Year 5 PV (M)16.9517.7718.62
PV of Terminal Value (M)524.08549.39575.67
Equity Value (M)600.04627.63656.25
Shares Outstanding (M)3.673.673.67
Fair Value$163.65$171.18$178.98
Upside / Downside384.18%406.44%429.53%

High-Yield Dividend Screener

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