Definitive Analysis
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Definitive Analysis

Financial Statements

Company Industry Sector

Fundamentals

Margins Returns Growth Rates Metrics/Ratios

Valuations

Projections DCF DDM EPV Multiples Valuations

Miscellaneous

Indicators Charts WACC Beta Predictability

Mode

Company Industry Sector

Ticker

Industry

Sector

TCM Group A/S (TCM.CO)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: Furnishings, Fixtures & AppliancesSector: Consumer Cyclical

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$75.71 - $127.85$98.49
Multi-Stage$287.65 - $317.46$302.26
Blended Fair Value$200.37
Current Price$73.60
Upside172.25%
DecisionBuy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR2024202320222021202020192018201720162015
DPS0.00%0.00%0.000.005.2012.440.004.540.000.000.000.00
YoY Growth--0.00%-100.00%-58.15%0.00%-100.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%
Dividend Yield--0.00%0.00%7.77%9.87%0.00%4.95%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)67.00
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)31.00
(=) Cash Retained (M)36.00
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)13.408.385.03
Cash Retained (M)36.0036.0036.00
(-) Cash Required (M)-13.40-8.38-5.03
(=) Excess Retained (M)22.6027.6330.98
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)10.4510.4510.45
(=) Excess Retained per Share2.162.642.96
LTM Dividend per Share2.972.972.97
(+) Excess Retained per Share2.162.642.96
(=) Adjusted Dividend5.135.615.93
WACC / Discount Rate4.64%4.64%4.64%
Growth Rate-2.00%-1.00%0.00%
Fair Value$75.71$98.49$127.85
Upside / Downside2.86%33.82%73.71%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)67.0066.3365.6765.0164.3663.7265.63
Payout Ratio46.27%55.01%63.76%72.51%81.25%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)31.0036.4941.8747.1452.2957.3460.71

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate4.64%4.64%4.64%
Growth Rate-2.00%-1.00%0.00%
Year 1 PV (M)34.5234.8735.23
Year 2 PV (M)37.4738.2439.02
Year 3 PV (M)39.9141.1442.40
Year 4 PV (M)41.8943.6245.41
Year 5 PV (M)43.4545.7248.07
PV of Terminal Value (M)2,809.872,956.183,108.53
Equity Value (M)3,007.113,159.783,318.66
Shares Outstanding (M)10.4510.4510.45
Fair Value$287.65$302.26$317.46
Upside / Downside290.83%310.68%331.33%

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