Definitive Analysis
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Definitive Analysis

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Company Industry Sector

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Industry

Sector

Syntec Construction Public Company Limited (SYNTEC.BK)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: Engineering & ConstructionSector: Industrials

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$3.11 - $4.70$3.86
Multi-Stage$7.35 - $8.11$7.72
Blended Fair Value$5.79
Current Price$1.65
Upside250.93%
DecisionBuy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR2024202320222021202020192018201720162015
DPS-14.34%-1.59%0.060.030.030.080.080.130.170.150.120.08
YoY Growth--100.03%-0.01%-62.50%0.00%-38.51%-23.88%13.30%25.01%50.01%14.27%
Dividend Yield--3.71%1.57%1.77%4.17%3.88%13.01%6.33%3.02%2.62%2.74%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)580.12
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)143.18
(=) Cash Retained (M)436.94
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)116.0272.5243.51
Cash Retained (M)436.94436.94436.94
(-) Cash Required (M)-116.02-72.52-43.51
(=) Excess Retained (M)320.92364.43393.43
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)1,590.361,590.361,590.36
(=) Excess Retained per Share0.200.230.25
LTM Dividend per Share0.090.090.09
(+) Excess Retained per Share0.200.230.25
(=) Adjusted Dividend0.290.320.34
WACC / Discount Rate6.42%6.42%6.42%
Growth Rate-2.71%-1.71%-0.71%
Fair Value$3.11$3.86$4.70
Upside / Downside88.44%133.83%184.72%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)580.12570.20560.44550.85541.43532.16548.13
Payout Ratio24.68%37.75%50.81%63.87%76.94%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)143.18215.22284.75351.84416.55478.95507.02

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate6.42%6.42%6.42%
Growth Rate-2.71%-1.71%-0.71%
Year 1 PV (M)200.18202.24204.30
Year 2 PV (M)246.34251.43256.57
Year 3 PV (M)283.11291.93300.93
Year 4 PV (M)311.75324.77338.19
Year 5 PV (M)333.40350.89369.10
PV of Terminal Value (M)10,319.2110,860.5711,424.41
Equity Value (M)11,693.9912,281.8212,893.50
Shares Outstanding (M)1,590.361,590.361,590.36
Fair Value$7.35$7.72$8.11
Upside / Downside345.64%368.04%391.35%

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