Definitive Analysis
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Definitive Analysis

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Sector

Synsam AB (publ) (SYNSAM.ST)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: Medical - Instruments & SuppliesSector: Healthcare

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$26.50 - $41.23$33.30
Multi-Stage$62.90 - $69.20$65.99
Blended Fair Value$49.65
Current Price$57.60
Upside-13.81%
DecisionDon't Buy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR2024202320222021202020192018
DPS0.00%0.00%1.831.741.750.000.000.000.000.000.000.00
YoY Growth--5.14%-0.78%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%
Dividend Yield--4.10%3.00%4.32%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)407.00
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)260.00
(=) Cash Retained (M)147.00
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)81.4050.8830.53
Cash Retained (M)147.00147.00147.00
(-) Cash Required (M)-81.40-50.88-30.53
(=) Excess Retained (M)65.6096.13116.48
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)145.45145.45145.45
(=) Excess Retained per Share0.450.660.80
LTM Dividend per Share1.791.791.79
(+) Excess Retained per Share0.450.660.80
(=) Adjusted Dividend2.242.452.59
WACC / Discount Rate6.28%6.28%6.28%
Growth Rate-2.00%-1.00%0.00%
Fair Value$26.50$33.30$41.23
Upside / Downside-53.99%-42.18%-28.43%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)407.00402.93398.90394.91390.96387.05398.66
Payout Ratio63.88%69.11%74.33%79.55%84.78%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)260.00278.45296.50314.16331.44348.35368.76

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate6.28%6.28%6.28%
Growth Rate-2.00%-1.00%0.00%
Year 1 PV (M)259.35262.00264.64
Year 2 PV (M)257.23262.50267.83
Year 3 PV (M)253.86261.71269.72
Year 4 PV (M)249.45259.79270.45
Year 5 PV (M)244.20256.91270.15
PV of Terminal Value (M)7,884.838,295.418,722.92
Equity Value (M)9,148.929,598.3310,065.72
Shares Outstanding (M)145.45145.45145.45
Fair Value$62.90$65.99$69.20
Upside / Downside9.20%14.57%20.15%

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