Definitive Analysis
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Definitive Analysis

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Symrise AG (SY1.DE)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: Chemicals - SpecialtySector: Basic Materials

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$95.57 - $299.54$153.39
Multi-Stage$63.24 - $69.08$66.10
Blended Fair Value$109.75
Current Price$89.14
Upside23.12%
DecisionDon't Buy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR2024202320222021202020192018201720162015
DPS4.75%6.18%1.101.051.020.940.920.870.820.810.770.72
YoY Growth--4.76%2.94%8.53%2.11%5.56%6.70%0.71%4.91%7.35%19.30%
Dividend Yield--1.15%0.96%1.02%0.86%0.89%1.03%1.01%1.24%1.24%1.22%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)506.90
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)167.73
(=) Cash Retained (M)339.18
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)101.3863.3638.02
Cash Retained (M)339.18339.18339.18
(-) Cash Required (M)-101.38-63.36-38.02
(=) Excess Retained (M)237.80275.81301.16
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)139.68139.68139.68
(=) Excess Retained per Share1.701.972.16
LTM Dividend per Share1.201.201.20
(+) Excess Retained per Share1.701.972.16
(=) Adjusted Dividend2.903.183.36
WACC / Discount Rate8.70%8.70%8.70%
Growth Rate5.50%6.50%7.50%
Fair Value$95.57$153.39$299.54
Upside / Downside7.22%72.08%236.03%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)506.90539.85574.94612.31652.11694.50715.34
Payout Ratio33.09%44.47%55.85%67.24%78.62%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)167.73240.08321.12411.69512.68625.05661.69

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate8.70%8.70%8.70%
Growth Rate5.50%6.50%7.50%
Year 1 PV (M)218.78220.85222.93
Year 2 PV (M)266.67271.75276.88
Year 3 PV (M)311.55320.50329.61
Year 4 PV (M)353.56367.16381.14
Year 5 PV (M)392.81411.79431.49
PV of Terminal Value (M)7,289.357,641.438,006.98
Equity Value (M)8,832.739,233.489,649.03
Shares Outstanding (M)139.68139.68139.68
Fair Value$63.24$66.10$69.08
Upside / Downside-29.06%-25.84%-22.50%

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