Definitive Analysis
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Definitive Analysis

Financial Statements

Ticker

Industry

Sector

Sensient Technologies Corporation (SXT)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: Chemicals - SpecialtySector: Basic Materials

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$36.87 - $60.22$47.30
Multi-Stage$49.92 - $54.66$52.24
Blended Fair Value$49.77
Current Price$93.85
Upside-46.97%
DecisionDon't Buy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR2024202320222021202020192018201720162015
DPS2.17%3.75%1.631.631.621.571.551.461.351.271.171.13
YoY Growth--0.00%0.45%3.33%0.96%6.22%8.33%6.24%8.87%3.17%0.45%
Dividend Yield--2.19%2.37%2.12%1.87%1.99%3.36%1.97%1.80%1.47%1.78%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)139.11
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)69.56
(=) Cash Retained (M)69.55
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)27.8217.3910.43
Cash Retained (M)69.5569.5569.55
(-) Cash Required (M)-27.82-17.39-10.43
(=) Excess Retained (M)41.7352.1659.11
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)42.5342.5342.53
(=) Excess Retained per Share0.981.231.39
LTM Dividend per Share1.641.641.64
(+) Excess Retained per Share0.981.231.39
(=) Adjusted Dividend2.622.863.03
WACC / Discount Rate8.51%8.51%8.51%
Growth Rate1.31%2.31%3.31%
Fair Value$36.87$47.30$60.22
Upside / Downside-60.72%-49.60%-35.84%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)139.11142.33145.62148.99152.44155.97160.65
Payout Ratio50.00%58.00%66.00%74.00%82.00%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)69.5682.5696.12110.26125.01140.38148.60

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate8.51%8.51%8.51%
Growth Rate1.31%2.31%3.31%
Year 1 PV (M)75.3476.0876.83
Year 2 PV (M)80.0581.6483.24
Year 3 PV (M)83.8086.3188.86
Year 4 PV (M)86.7190.1893.76
Year 5 PV (M)88.8693.3397.98
PV of Terminal Value (M)1,708.321,794.301,883.72
Equity Value (M)2,123.072,221.842,324.39
Shares Outstanding (M)42.5342.5342.53
Fair Value$49.92$52.24$54.66
Upside / Downside-46.81%-44.33%-41.76%

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