Definitive Analysis
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Definitive Analysis

Financial Statements

Company Industry Sector

Fundamentals

Margins Returns Growth Rates Metrics/Ratios

Valuations

Projections DCF DDM EPV Multiples Valuations

Miscellaneous

Indicators Charts WACC Beta Predictability

Mode

Company Industry Sector

Ticker

Industry

Sector

Scorpio Tankers Inc. (STNG)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: Oil & Gas MidstreamSector: Energy

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$224.97 - $1,176.18$452.19
Multi-Stage$125.63 - $137.39$131.40
Blended Fair Value$291.80
Current Price$56.05
Upside420.60%
DecisionBuy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR2024202320222021202020192018201720162015
DPS31.45%1.71%1.731.200.480.480.480.440.310.201.811.81
YoY Growth--44.84%147.33%-0.03%0.08%9.51%40.66%58.22%-89.00%-0.15%23.49%
Dividend Yield--4.62%1.65%0.86%2.27%2.62%2.31%1.61%1.03%4.07%3.10%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)284.73
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)80.78
(=) Cash Retained (M)203.95
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)56.9535.5921.35
Cash Retained (M)203.95203.95203.95
(-) Cash Required (M)-56.95-35.59-21.35
(=) Excess Retained (M)147.00168.36182.59
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)48.1448.1448.14
(=) Excess Retained per Share3.053.503.79
LTM Dividend per Share1.681.681.68
(+) Excess Retained per Share3.053.503.79
(=) Adjusted Dividend4.735.175.47
WACC / Discount Rate7.72%7.72%7.72%
Growth Rate5.50%6.50%7.50%
Fair Value$224.97$452.19$1,176.18
Upside / Downside301.37%706.76%1,998.44%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)284.73303.24322.95343.94366.30390.11401.81
Payout Ratio28.37%40.70%53.02%65.35%77.67%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)80.78123.41171.24224.76284.52351.10371.67

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate7.72%7.72%7.72%
Growth Rate5.50%6.50%7.50%
Year 1 PV (M)113.49114.57115.64
Year 2 PV (M)144.82147.58150.36
Year 3 PV (M)174.81179.82184.94
Year 4 PV (M)203.50211.32219.37
Year 5 PV (M)230.93242.08253.67
PV of Terminal Value (M)5,180.685,430.915,690.71
Equity Value (M)6,048.226,326.286,614.69
Shares Outstanding (M)48.1448.1448.14
Fair Value$125.63$131.40$137.39
Upside / Downside124.14%134.44%145.13%

High-Yield Dividend Screener

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