Definitive Analysis
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Definitive Analysis

Financial Statements

Company Industry Sector

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Margins Returns Growth Rates Metrics/Ratios

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Projections DCF DDM EPV Multiples Valuations

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Company Industry Sector

Ticker

Industry

Sector

Spectrum Brands Holdings, Inc. (SPB)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: Household & Personal ProductsSector: Consumer Defensive

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$21.88 - $30.33$26.12
Multi-Stage$41.16 - $45.23$43.16
Blended Fair Value$34.64
Current Price$53.00
Upside-34.64%
DecisionDon't Buy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR2025202420232022202120202019201820172016
DPS-8.51%3.58%1.861.952.572.652.762.903.300.860.000.00
YoY Growth---4.74%-23.91%-3.06%-4.06%-4.92%-12.05%281.70%0.00%0.00%-100.00%
Dividend Yield--3.51%2.33%3.22%4.35%2.71%5.08%5.18%2.05%0.00%0.00%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)99.90
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)48.20
(=) Cash Retained (M)51.70
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)19.9812.497.49
Cash Retained (M)51.7051.7051.70
(-) Cash Required (M)-19.98-12.49-7.49
(=) Excess Retained (M)31.7239.2144.21
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)25.9025.9025.90
(=) Excess Retained per Share1.221.511.71
LTM Dividend per Share1.861.861.86
(+) Excess Retained per Share1.221.511.71
(=) Adjusted Dividend3.093.383.57
WACC / Discount Rate8.98%8.98%8.98%
Growth Rate-4.49%-3.49%-2.49%
Fair Value$21.88$26.12$30.33
Upside / Downside-58.72%-50.71%-42.77%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)99.9096.4193.0589.8086.6783.6586.16
Payout Ratio48.25%56.60%64.95%73.30%81.65%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)48.2054.5760.4465.8370.7775.2879.70

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate8.98%8.98%8.98%
Growth Rate-4.49%-3.49%-2.49%
Year 1 PV (M)49.5550.0750.59
Year 2 PV (M)49.8450.8951.95
Year 3 PV (M)49.2950.8652.45
Year 4 PV (M)48.1250.1752.28
Year 5 PV (M)46.4948.9751.56
PV of Terminal Value (M)822.81866.79912.64
Equity Value (M)1,066.101,117.751,171.47
Shares Outstanding (M)25.9025.9025.90
Fair Value$41.16$43.16$45.23
Upside / Downside-22.34%-18.57%-14.66%

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