Definitive Analysis
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Definitive Analysis

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Margins Returns Growth Rates Metrics/Ratios

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Company Industry Sector

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Industry

Sector

Sonda S.A. (SONDA.SN)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: Information Technology ServicesSector: Technology

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$550.94 - $1,109.22$767.55
Multi-Stage$752.69 - $825.09$788.21
Blended Fair Value$777.88
Current Price$355.74
Upside118.67%
DecisionBuy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR2024202320222021202020192018201720162015
DPS4.00%-8.70%15.4925.508.8931.668.5312.7332.6217.0329.5828.11
YoY Growth---39.27%186.82%-71.91%271.29%-33.01%-60.98%91.50%-42.41%5.24%-27.00%
Dividend Yield--3.85%5.84%2.12%10.09%1.85%2.83%3.13%1.46%2.60%2.18%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)28,374.20
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)16,354.36
(=) Cash Retained (M)12,019.85
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)5,674.843,546.782,128.07
Cash Retained (M)12,019.8512,019.8512,019.85
(-) Cash Required (M)-5,674.84-3,546.78-2,128.07
(=) Excess Retained (M)6,345.018,473.079,891.78
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)870.83870.83870.83
(=) Excess Retained per Share7.299.7311.36
LTM Dividend per Share18.7818.7818.78
(+) Excess Retained per Share7.299.7311.36
(=) Adjusted Dividend26.0728.5130.14
WACC / Discount Rate6.83%6.83%6.83%
Growth Rate2.00%3.00%4.00%
Fair Value$550.94$767.55$1,109.22
Upside / Downside54.87%115.76%211.81%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)28,374.2029,225.3230,101.9731,004.9131,934.9332,892.8633,879.64
Payout Ratio57.64%64.11%70.58%77.06%83.53%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)16,354.3618,736.4921,246.8323,890.9126,674.4929,603.5731,338.67

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate6.83%6.83%6.83%
Growth Rate2.00%3.00%4.00%
Year 1 PV (M)17,369.0717,539.3617,709.64
Year 2 PV (M)18,258.7318,618.5018,981.79
Year 3 PV (M)19,032.5719,597.8620,174.23
Year 4 PV (M)19,699.2320,483.1821,290.31
Year 5 PV (M)20,266.8121,279.9622,333.22
PV of Terminal Value (M)560,842.74588,879.52618,026.51
Equity Value (M)655,469.16686,398.38718,515.70
Shares Outstanding (M)870.83870.83870.83
Fair Value$752.69$788.21$825.09
Upside / Downside111.58%121.57%131.94%

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