Definitive Analysis
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Definitive Analysis

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TD SYNNEX Corporation (SNX)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: Technology DistributorsSector: Technology

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$201.81 - $492.49$300.55
Multi-Stage$140.68 - $153.73$147.09
Blended Fair Value$223.82
Current Price$148.07
Upside51.16%
DecisionBuy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR2024202320222021202020192018201720162015
DPS12.51%39.56%1.651.561.370.600.250.920.710.500.400.27
YoY Growth--5.91%13.42%128.65%141.90%-72.87%28.28%42.82%23.99%49.28%358.51%
Dividend Yield--1.20%1.50%1.42%0.59%0.26%1.46%1.45%0.81%0.69%0.57%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)774.06
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)144.44
(=) Cash Retained (M)629.61
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)154.8196.7658.05
Cash Retained (M)629.61629.61629.61
(-) Cash Required (M)-154.81-96.76-58.05
(=) Excess Retained (M)474.80532.85571.56
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)83.7283.7283.72
(=) Excess Retained per Share5.676.376.83
LTM Dividend per Share1.731.731.73
(+) Excess Retained per Share5.676.376.83
(=) Adjusted Dividend7.408.098.55
WACC / Discount Rate9.37%9.37%9.37%
Growth Rate5.50%6.50%7.50%
Fair Value$201.81$300.55$492.49
Upside / Downside36.29%102.98%232.61%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)774.06824.37877.95935.02995.801,060.521,092.34
Payout Ratio18.66%32.93%47.20%61.46%75.73%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)144.44271.45414.36574.70754.14954.471,010.41

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate9.37%9.37%9.37%
Growth Rate5.50%6.50%7.50%
Year 1 PV (M)245.87248.20250.53
Year 2 PV (M)339.95346.42352.96
Year 3 PV (M)427.07439.32451.82
Year 4 PV (M)507.60527.12547.20
Year 5 PV (M)581.90610.00639.19
PV of Terminal Value (M)9,675.1410,142.4510,627.65
Equity Value (M)11,777.5212,313.5212,869.34
Shares Outstanding (M)83.7283.7283.72
Fair Value$140.68$147.09$153.73
Upside / Downside-4.99%-0.66%3.82%

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