Definitive Analysis
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Definitive Analysis

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Synovus Financial Corp. (SNV)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: Banks - RegionalSector: Financial Services

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$96.22 - $190.31$133.16
Multi-Stage$74.66 - $81.49$78.02
Blended Fair Value$105.59
Current Price$49.08
Upside115.13%
DecisionBuy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR2024202320222021202020192018201720162015
DPS5.56%17.79%1.551.531.381.371.341.190.750.390.420.39
YoY Growth--1.88%10.15%0.76%2.48%13.13%58.08%94.30%-8.00%7.35%29.32%
Dividend Yield--3.33%3.89%4.49%2.80%2.93%6.75%2.14%0.77%1.02%1.35%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)800.15
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)216.48
(=) Cash Retained (M)583.67
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)160.03100.0260.01
Cash Retained (M)583.67583.67583.67
(-) Cash Required (M)-160.03-100.02-60.01
(=) Excess Retained (M)423.64483.66523.66
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)141.64141.64141.64
(=) Excess Retained per Share2.993.413.70
LTM Dividend per Share1.531.531.53
(+) Excess Retained per Share2.993.413.70
(=) Adjusted Dividend4.524.945.23
WACC / Discount Rate10.26%10.26%10.26%
Growth Rate5.31%6.31%7.31%
Fair Value$96.22$133.16$190.31
Upside / Downside96.04%171.30%287.76%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)800.15850.64904.32961.381,022.041,086.541,119.13
Payout Ratio27.05%39.64%52.23%64.82%77.41%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)216.48337.22472.35623.18791.17977.881,035.20

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate10.26%10.26%10.26%
Growth Rate5.31%6.31%7.31%
Year 1 PV (M)302.98305.85308.73
Year 2 PV (M)381.28388.56395.90
Year 3 PV (M)451.95464.95478.19
Year 4 PV (M)515.51535.37555.80
Year 5 PV (M)572.46600.16628.92
PV of Terminal Value (M)8,351.168,755.279,174.87
Equity Value (M)10,575.3311,050.1411,542.40
Shares Outstanding (M)141.64141.64141.64
Fair Value$74.66$78.02$81.49
Upside / Downside52.12%58.96%66.04%

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