DDM Analysis: SMCB.JK

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth	$833.15 - $1,294.25	$1,046.38
Multi-Stage	$1,936.31 - $2,131.89	$2,032.18
Blended Fair Value	$1,539.28
Current Price	$775.00
Upside	98.62%
Decision	Buy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric	5Y CAGR	10Y CAGR	2024	2023	2022	2021	2020	2019	2018	2017	2016	2015
DPS	0.00%	-8.91%	29.07	27.22	23.93	21.59	3.06	0.00	0.00	0.00	11.31	26.27
YoY Growth	-	-	6.82%	13.75%	10.81%	606.42%	0.00%	0.00%	0.00%	-100.00%	-56.93%	-64.46%
Dividend Yield	-	-	3.75%	2.09%	1.81%	1.24%	0.18%	0.00%	0.00%	0.00%	1.25%	2.45%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)

Net Income To Common (M)	797,079.00
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)	363,167.00
(=) Cash Retained (M)	433,912.00

Metric	LOW	BASE	HIGH
Required Retention Ratio	20.0%	12.5%	7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)	159,415.80	99,634.88	59,780.93
Cash Retained (M)	433,912.00	433,912.00	433,912.00
(-) Cash Required (M)	-159,415.80	-99,634.88	-59,780.93
(=) Excess Retained (M)	274,496.20	334,277.13	374,131.08
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)	9,019.38	9,019.38	9,019.38
(=) Excess Retained per Share	30.43	37.06	41.48
LTM Dividend per Share	40.27	40.27	40.27
(+) Excess Retained per Share	30.43	37.06	41.48
(=) Adjusted Dividend	70.70	77.33	81.75
WACC / Discount Rate	6.32%	6.32%	6.32%
Growth Rate	-2.00%	-1.00%	0.00%
Fair Value	$833.15	$1,046.38	$1,294.25
Upside / Downside	7.50%	35.02%	67.00%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)

Metric	TTM	Dec-27	Dec-28	Dec-29	Dec-30	Dec-31	Terminal
Net Income (M)	797,079.00	789,108.21	781,217.13	773,404.96	765,670.91	758,014.20	780,754.62
Payout Ratio	45.56%	54.45%	63.34%	72.22%	81.11%	90.00%	92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)	363,167.00	429,667.74	494,802.15	558,590.91	621,054.41	682,212.78	722,198.03

Multi-Stage Valuation

Metric	LOW	BASE	HIGH
WACC / Discount Rate	6.32%	6.32%	6.32%
Growth Rate	-2.00%	-1.00%	0.00%
Year 1 PV (M)	400,059.63	404,141.87	408,224.11
Year 2 PV (M)	428,958.76	437,757.68	446,645.94
Year 3 PV (M)	450,889.17	464,833.22	479,061.84
Year 4 PV (M)	466,764.23	486,109.43	506,049.81
Year 5 PV (M)	477,397.07	502,256.25	528,140.38
PV of Terminal Value (M)	15,240,280.27	16,033,877.03	16,860,194.31
Equity Value (M)	17,464,349.14	18,328,975.48	19,228,316.39
Shares Outstanding (M)	9,019.38	9,019.38	9,019.38
Fair Value	$1,936.31	$2,032.18	$2,131.89
Upside / Downside	149.85%	162.22%	175.08%

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Financial Statements

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Sector

PT Solusi Bangun Indonesia Tbk (SMCB.JK)

Valuation Snapshot

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

Multi-Stage Valuation

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