Definitive Analysis
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Definitive Analysis

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Company Industry Sector

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Industry

Sector

Sikarin Public Company Limited (SKR.BK)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: Medical - Care FacilitiesSector: Healthcare

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$14.23 - $65.35$32.25
Multi-Stage$7.64 - $8.34$7.98
Blended Fair Value$20.12
Current Price$7.00
Upside187.41%
DecisionBuy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR2024202320222021202020192018201720162015
DPS21.82%16.83%0.180.170.200.080.070.070.050.040.040.05
YoY Growth--5.81%-14.91%157.47%13.42%2.02%42.11%17.80%-5.24%-13.44%28.65%
Dividend Yield--2.30%1.68%2.17%0.56%0.86%1.52%1.11%1.06%1.11%0.96%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)676.05
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)412.69
(=) Cash Retained (M)263.37
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)135.2184.5150.70
Cash Retained (M)263.37263.37263.37
(-) Cash Required (M)-135.21-84.51-50.70
(=) Excess Retained (M)128.16178.86212.66
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)2,057.262,057.262,057.26
(=) Excess Retained per Share0.060.090.10
LTM Dividend per Share0.200.200.20
(+) Excess Retained per Share0.060.090.10
(=) Adjusted Dividend0.260.290.30
WACC / Discount Rate7.45%7.45%7.45%
Growth Rate5.50%6.50%7.50%
Fair Value$14.23$32.25$65.35
Upside / Downside103.25%360.76%833.63%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)676.05720.00766.80816.64869.72926.25954.04
Payout Ratio61.04%66.83%72.63%78.42%84.21%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)412.69481.21556.89640.39732.38833.63882.49

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate7.45%7.45%7.45%
Growth Rate5.50%6.50%7.50%
Year 1 PV (M)443.64447.85452.05
Year 2 PV (M)473.34482.35491.45
Year 3 PV (M)501.81516.21530.89
Year 4 PV (M)529.09549.44570.37
Year 5 PV (M)555.22582.04609.88
PV of Terminal Value (M)13,209.7013,847.7414,510.19
Equity Value (M)15,712.8016,425.6217,164.83
Shares Outstanding (M)2,057.262,057.262,057.26
Fair Value$7.64$7.98$8.34
Upside / Downside9.11%14.06%19.19%

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