Definitive Analysis
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Definitive Analysis

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Sjóvá-Almennar tryggingar hf. (SJOVA.IC)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: Insurance - Property & CasualtySector: Financial Services

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$182.25 - $642.83$602.43
Multi-Stage$85.76 - $93.64$89.63
Blended Fair Value$346.03
Current Price$46.00
Upside652.24%
DecisionBuy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR2024202320222021202020192018201720162015
DPS30.30%0.00%2.101.623.262.270.000.561.282.220.563.42
YoY Growth--29.54%-50.22%43.36%0.00%-100.00%-56.36%-42.32%294.78%-83.56%0.00%
Dividend Yield--4.59%4.27%9.05%6.31%0.00%3.31%7.74%12.73%3.21%26.66%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)3,773.97
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)3,400.37
(=) Cash Retained (M)373.60
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)754.79471.75283.05
Cash Retained (M)373.60373.60373.60
(-) Cash Required (M)-754.79-471.75-283.05
(=) Excess Retained (M)-381.19-98.1590.55
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)1,167.561,167.561,167.56
(=) Excess Retained per Share-0.33-0.080.08
LTM Dividend per Share2.912.912.91
(+) Excess Retained per Share-0.33-0.080.08
(=) Adjusted Dividend2.592.832.99
WACC / Discount Rate7.00%7.00%7.00%
Growth Rate5.50%6.50%7.50%
Fair Value$182.25$602.43$642.83
Upside / Downside296.19%1,209.63%1,297.46%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)3,773.974,019.284,280.544,558.774,855.095,170.675,325.79
Payout Ratio90.10%90.08%90.06%90.04%90.02%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)3,400.373,620.593,855.074,104.734,370.564,653.604,926.36

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate7.00%7.00%7.00%
Growth Rate5.50%6.50%7.50%
Year 1 PV (M)3,352.053,383.833,415.60
Year 2 PV (M)3,304.423,367.363,430.89
Year 3 PV (M)3,257.463,350.973,446.25
Year 4 PV (M)3,211.173,334.663,461.68
Year 5 PV (M)3,165.543,318.433,477.18
PV of Terminal Value (M)83,841.3587,890.9192,095.47
Equity Value (M)100,131.98104,646.16109,327.08
Shares Outstanding (M)1,167.561,167.561,167.56
Fair Value$85.76$89.63$93.64
Upside / Downside86.44%94.84%103.56%

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