Definitive Analysis
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Definitive Analysis

Financial Statements

Company Industry Sector

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Margins Returns Growth Rates Metrics/Ratios

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Projections DCF DDM EPV Multiples Valuations

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Mode

Company Industry Sector

Ticker

Industry

Sector

Shore Bancshares, Inc. (SHBI)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: Banks - RegionalSector: Financial Services

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$65.49 - $339.01$132.73
Multi-Stage$36.39 - $39.80$38.06
Blended Fair Value$85.40
Current Price$16.41
Upside420.40%
DecisionBuy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR2024202320222021202020192018201720162015
DPS24.53%0.00%0.480.380.290.200.180.160.120.080.050.02
YoY Growth--25.76%33.61%44.24%11.04%11.28%31.09%46.20%57.54%250.00%0.00%
Dividend Yield--3.54%3.44%2.00%0.97%1.05%1.48%0.81%0.44%0.32%0.13%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)56.90
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)16.09
(=) Cash Retained (M)40.81
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)11.387.114.27
Cash Retained (M)40.8140.8140.81
(-) Cash Required (M)-11.38-7.11-4.27
(=) Excess Retained (M)29.4333.7036.54
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)33.3833.3833.38
(=) Excess Retained per Share0.881.011.09
LTM Dividend per Share0.480.480.48
(+) Excess Retained per Share0.881.011.09
(=) Adjusted Dividend1.361.491.58
WACC / Discount Rate7.70%7.70%7.70%
Growth Rate5.50%6.50%7.50%
Fair Value$65.49$132.73$339.01
Upside / Downside299.10%708.87%1,965.89%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)56.9060.6064.5468.7373.2077.9680.30
Payout Ratio28.28%40.62%52.97%65.31%77.66%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)16.0924.6234.1944.8956.8570.1674.28

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate7.70%7.70%7.70%
Growth Rate5.50%6.50%7.50%
Year 1 PV (M)22.6422.8623.07
Year 2 PV (M)28.9229.4730.03
Year 3 PV (M)34.9435.9436.96
Year 4 PV (M)40.6942.2643.87
Year 5 PV (M)46.2048.4350.74
PV of Terminal Value (M)1,041.241,091.531,143.74
Equity Value (M)1,214.631,270.481,328.42
Shares Outstanding (M)33.3833.3833.38
Fair Value$36.39$38.06$39.80
Upside / Downside121.74%131.94%142.52%

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