Definitive Analysis
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Definitive Analysis

Financial Statements

Company Industry Sector

Fundamentals

Margins Returns Growth Rates Metrics/Ratios

Valuations

Projections DCF DDM EPV Multiples Valuations

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Company Industry Sector

Ticker

Industry

Sector

Sea Oil Public Company Limited (SEAOIL.BK)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: Oil & Gas Refining & MarketingSector: Energy

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$41.54 - $94.18$88.26
Multi-Stage$14.12 - $15.45$14.78
Blended Fair Value$51.52
Current Price$2.38
Upside2,064.64%
DecisionBuy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR2024202320222021202020192018201720162015
DPS0.00%20.86%0.300.010.010.010.010.000.000.040.010.01
YoY Growth--4,218.15%6.67%6.67%-26.65%0.00%0.00%-100.00%591.66%-20.01%-85.00%
Dividend Yield--12.19%0.23%0.19%0.14%0.30%0.00%0.00%2.14%0.23%0.19%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)349.98
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)162.58
(=) Cash Retained (M)187.40
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)70.0043.7526.25
Cash Retained (M)187.40187.40187.40
(-) Cash Required (M)-70.00-43.75-26.25
(=) Excess Retained (M)117.40143.65161.15
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)739.02739.02739.02
(=) Excess Retained per Share0.160.190.22
LTM Dividend per Share0.220.220.22
(+) Excess Retained per Share0.160.190.22
(=) Adjusted Dividend0.380.410.44
WACC / Discount Rate6.46%6.46%6.46%
Growth Rate5.50%6.50%7.50%
Fair Value$41.54$88.26$94.18
Upside / Downside1,645.25%3,608.47%3,857.19%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)349.98372.73396.95422.76450.24479.50493.89
Payout Ratio46.45%55.16%63.87%72.58%81.29%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)162.58205.61253.54306.84366.00431.55456.85

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate6.46%6.46%6.46%
Growth Rate5.50%6.50%7.50%
Year 1 PV (M)191.31193.13194.94
Year 2 PV (M)219.52223.70227.92
Year 3 PV (M)247.19254.29261.52
Year 4 PV (M)274.35284.90295.76
Year 5 PV (M)301.00315.54330.63
PV of Terminal Value (M)9,203.349,647.8710,109.41
Equity Value (M)10,436.7310,919.4311,420.18
Shares Outstanding (M)739.02739.02739.02
Fair Value$14.12$14.78$15.45
Upside / Downside493.37%520.82%549.29%

High-Yield Dividend Screener

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