Definitive Analysis
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Definitive Analysis

Financial Statements

Ticker

Industry

Sector

SandRidge Energy, Inc. (SD)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: Oil & Gas Exploration & ProductionSector: Energy

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$12.72 - $18.32$15.45
Multi-Stage$20.58 - $22.61$21.57
Blended Fair Value$18.51
Current Price$11.28
Upside64.11%
DecisionBuy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR2024202320222021202020192018201720162015
DPS0.00%0.00%1.960.210.000.000.000.000.000.000.100.00
YoY Growth--837.60%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%-100.00%0.00%0.00%
Dividend Yield--17.14%1.43%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.52%0.00%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)66.14
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)16.13
(=) Cash Retained (M)50.02
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)13.238.274.96
Cash Retained (M)50.0250.0250.02
(-) Cash Required (M)-13.23-8.27-4.96
(=) Excess Retained (M)36.7941.7545.05
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)36.9536.9536.95
(=) Excess Retained per Share1.001.131.22
LTM Dividend per Share0.440.440.44
(+) Excess Retained per Share1.001.131.22
(=) Adjusted Dividend1.431.571.66
WACC / Discount Rate9.04%9.04%9.04%
Growth Rate-2.00%-1.00%0.00%
Fair Value$12.72$15.45$18.32
Upside / Downside12.73%36.97%62.44%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)66.1465.4864.8364.1863.5462.9064.79
Payout Ratio24.38%37.51%50.63%63.75%76.88%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)16.1324.5632.8240.9248.8456.6159.93

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate9.04%9.04%9.04%
Growth Rate-2.00%-1.00%0.00%
Year 1 PV (M)22.3022.5222.75
Year 2 PV (M)27.0527.6128.17
Year 3 PV (M)30.6231.5632.53
Year 4 PV (M)33.1834.5635.97
Year 5 PV (M)34.9136.7338.62
PV of Terminal Value (M)612.21644.09677.28
Equity Value (M)760.27797.07835.33
Shares Outstanding (M)36.9536.9536.95
Fair Value$20.58$21.57$22.61
Upside / Downside82.42%91.25%100.43%

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